地地弹道导弹研制方案综合评价决策模型

针对地地弹道导弹武器系统方案阶段进行方案决策的需求，在建立方案评价目标体系的基础上，分别建立了单目标准则下的效能评价模型、费用评价模型、风险评价模型以及综合考虑多个因素的多目标综合评价决策模型，以实现地地弹道导弹武器系统在方案阶段对系统效能、费用、研制周期和风险四个方面进行全面分析和综合评估，为使用方进行方案论证和方案评审提供定量分析的依据。

A Practical and Effective Comprehensive Evaluation Decision Model of Development Plan for Ground to Ground Ballistic Missile

Aimed at the need of the plan design in the planning stage for ground to ground ballistic missile and based on the plan evaluation object. an effectiveness model. cost model. development cycle model and risk model are presented in the paper to perform the complete analysis and evaluation of the effectiveness. cost. development cycle and risk in the planning stage. thus offering quantitative analysis evidence to the user in plan proof at evaluation.