安徽省农民收入地域格局变化及其驱动力分析

利用1995、2000、2006年3年截面数据对安徽省农民收入空间格局变化进行县域尺度上的空间自相关分析，并通过空间回归确定驱动农民收入分异的主要因素。结果表明：①1995—2006年，安徽省农民收入地域差异不断扩大，空间自相关性逐渐增强，低收入县区和高收入县区均呈现出空间聚集态势，具体表现为低收入县区在安徽西部聚集，而高收入县区在安徽东南部聚集；②农业财政支出、城镇化率、经济水平和产业结构是驱动安徽农民收入空间格局变化的主要因素；③第三产业比例对农民收入分异影响不显著，可能与该省工业化程度有关。图2，表2，参10。

Analysis on Regional Pattern Changes and Driving Forces of Peasants'Income in Anhui Province

This paper made an analysis of spatial autocorrelation on the spatial pattern changes of Anhui peasants＇ income on county scale based on the section data of 1995,2000 and 2006, then identified the main driving factors for the regional differentiation of peasants＇ income by space regression. The results indicated： （1）from 1995 to 2006, the regional differences and spatial autoeorrelation of peasants＇ income in Anhui increased gradually, with the low and high income counties and distriets tended to congregate in space. Specifically, the low-income counties and districts distributed collectively in the west part of Anhui while the high-ineome areas were in the southeast part of Anhui; （2）agricultural financial expenditure, urbanization, economic level and the industrial strueture were the main forces driving the spatial pattern changes of peasants＇ income in Anhui; （3）pmportion of the tertiary industry influeneed insignificantly the ineome of the peasants and it might be related to the degree of industrialization in Anhui.