| 基于灰色-马尔可夫模型的上海房价走势实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 谈萍.基于灰色-马尔可夫模型的上海房价走势实证研究[J].科学技术与工程,2011,11(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 谈萍 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海交通大学技术经济系,上海,200030 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对房地产营销过程中，价格变化随机性的特点，将灰色GM(1，1)预测与马尔可夫预测有机结合，构成灰色-马尔可夫预测模型，对未来某一时段的房价的灰色预测结果做马尔可夫评价。结果表明，该模型是切实有效的。因此，此模型可用于指导房地产政策的制定。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色-马尔可夫模型、房价、预测 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010/10/28 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2010/10/28 0:00:00 |
Empirical study of real estate price trend in Shanghai, based on Grey-Markov model |
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| tan ping.Empirical study of real estate price trend in Shanghai, based on Grey-Markov model[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2011,11(3). |
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| Authors: | tan ping |
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| Institution: | TAN Ping,SHI Zhan-zhong(Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200030,P.R.China) |
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| Abstract: | This price of Shanghai real estate market is forecasted in this paper using Grey-Markov model, which is an organic combination of grey GM (1,1) forecasting model and Markov forecasting model. The results show that this advanced model effective. So this model can be used to help government make targeted policies which aim at stabilize the real estate market. |
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| Keywords: | Grey-Markov model real eatate price forecast |
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