| 基于混沌动力学的日径流时间序列预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 温权,张勇传,张周胜. 基于混沌动力学的日径流时间序列预测[J]. 华中科技大学学报(自然科学版), 1998, 0(12) |
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| 作者姓名： | 温权 张勇传 张周胜 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中理工大学电力工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了探求时间序列中的混沌特征数的常规方法，给出一种基于混沌理论的预测算法，并以葛洲坝、隔河岩水库的入库日径流序列为例检验了这一方法，其预测效果令人满意．
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| 关 键 词： | 混沌动力系统；日径流时间序列；李亚普诺夫指数；相关维数 |
The Prediction of Daily Discharge Time Series Based on Chaos Dynamics |
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| Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan Zhang Zhousheng. The Prediction of Daily Discharge Time Series Based on Chaos Dynamics[J]. JOURNAL OF HUAZHONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY.NATURE SCIENCE, 1998, 0(12) |
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| Authors: | Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan Zhang Zhousheng |
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| Affiliation: | Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan Zhang Zhousheng |
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| Abstract: | There are some ways to search chaos dynamics in a time series. Based on chaos theory, a prediction model is constructed. The daily discharge series of reservoir Gezhouba and Geheyan are used to test the idea. The results are satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | chaos dynamic system daily runoff time series Lyapunov exponent correlation dimension |
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