| 九寨沟水资源灰色系统预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 辜寄蓉,范晓,杨俊义,王成善.九寨沟水资源灰色系统预测模型[J].成都理工大学学报(自然科学版),2003,30(2):192-197. |
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| 作者姓名： | 辜寄蓉 范晓 杨俊义 王成善 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 成都理工大学地球科学学院,成都,610059
2. 四川省地勘局区域地质调查队 |
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| 摘 要： | 九寨沟作为世界自然遗产，其景观特色就在于色彩斑谰的水体及大大小小的瀑布。近几年来，由于受大气环境的影响，九寨沟的水体出现了水量减少，瀑布无法形成等现象。此次研究中，应用地理信息系统的空间分析方法，提取模型因子，采用灰色系统方法，建立九寨沟地区的大气降水与湖泊水位的关系，探讨了寨沟的水环境及水资源状况，并对今后几年水资源进行了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 地理信息系统 水资源预测 灰色系统理论 空间分析模型 九寨沟 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-9727(2003)02-0192-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年2月20日 |
WATER RESOURCE FORECAST MODEL BASED ON GRAY SYSTEM OF JIUZHAIGOU |
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| GU Ji rong ,FAN Xiao ,YANG Jun yi ,WANG Cheng shan.WATER RESOURCE FORECAST MODEL BASED ON GRAY SYSTEM OF JIUZHAIGOU[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Technology: Sci & Technol Ed,2003,30(2):192-197. |
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| Authors: | GU Ji rong FAN Xiao YANG Jun yi WANG Cheng shan |
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| Institution: | GU Ji rong 1,FAN Xiao 2,YANG Jun yi 2,WANG Cheng shan 1 |
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| Abstract: | Jiuzhaigou is a world natural heritage. The characteristic scenes are the colorful water bodies and varisized falls. In recent years, because of the influence of the global atmospheric environment, the water bodies have been dried up, water volume has been decreased, and falls have been disappeared in Jiuzhaigou . In this research, the authors apply GIS spatial analysis, draw model features, and use the gray system method to establish the relationship of atmospheric precipitation and water level of lakes in Jiuzhaigou , study the water environment and water resource conditions in this area, and forecast the water resource of next years in this area. The result is credible. |
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| Keywords: | geological information system water resource gray system spatial analysis Jiuzhaigou |
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