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24Model的系统特性研究
引用本文:傅贵,索晓,王春雪.24Model的系统特性研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2018,38(1):263-272.
作者姓名:傅贵  索晓  王春雪
作者单位:1. 中国矿业大学(北京) 资源与安全工程学院, 北京 100083;2. 中国矿业大学(北京) 煤炭资源与安全开采国家重点实验室, 北京 100083;3. 首都经济贸易大学 安全与环境工程学院, 北京 100070
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(51534008)
摘    要:为了能通过事故致因模型24Model进行更全面的事故分析和预防工作,笔者梳理了危险源和事故的关系,阐述了24Model的系统特性.研究认为危险源是事故发生的来源,等同于事故致因.24Model是具有整体性,关联性,层次性,动态性的系统性事故致因模型.利用24Model对"东方之星"号客轮翻沉事故进行了分析,以实例验证了24Model的整体性,关联性,层次性和动态性.

关 键 词:24Model  事故致因模型  系统思考  危险源  
收稿时间:2017-05-08

Study on the systematic characteristics of 24Model
FU Gui,SUO Xiao,WANG Chunxue.Study on the systematic characteristics of 24Model[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2018,38(1):263-272.
Authors:FU Gui  SUO Xiao  WANG Chunxue
Institution:1. School of Resources & Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology(Beijing), Beijing 100083, China;2. State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining, China University of Mining and Technology(Beijing), Beijing 100083, China;3. School of Safety & Environmental Engineering, Capital University of Economics & Business, Beijing 100070, China
Abstract:In order to carry out more comprehensive accident analysis and prevention work via accident causation model 24Model, the authors analyze the relationship between hazards and accidents. Then the system characteristics of 24Model is expounded. The study shows that the hazards are the sources of the accident which equates to the accident causations. 24Model is a systematic accident causation model which involves features of integrity, relevance, hierarchy and dynamic. The characteristics of integrity, relevance, hierarchy and dynamic of 24Model are illustrated with an example which is the capsized accident of the "Eastern Star" ferry analyzed via 24Model.
Keywords:24Model  accident causation model  system thinking  hazards  
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