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| 基于逆向思维的圣彼得堡悖论数量模型研究及应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 孙文浩,姚俭. 基于逆向思维的圣彼得堡悖论数量模型研究及应用[J]. 上海理工大学学报, 2012, 34(3): 263-266 |
| 作者姓名： | 孙文浩 姚俭 |
| 作者单位： | 上海理工大学 管理学院,上海,200093 |
| 摘 要： | 运用逆向思维的方法建立圣彼得堡悖论数量模型,并讨论样本规模对它的影响.从而避免决策过程中,由于对基率和样本大小不敏感引起的决策失误.将这一模型运用到实际问题中,解决产品或服务定价问题、决策问题及其对通货膨胀的影响. |
| 关 键 词： | 圣彼得堡悖论 样本规模 决策 |
St.Petersburg Paradox Quantity Model and Its Application Based on Reverse Thinking |
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| SUN Wen hao and YAO Jian. St.Petersburg Paradox Quantity Model and Its Application Based on Reverse Thinking[J]. Journal of University of Shanghai For Science and Technology, 2012, 34(3): 263-266 | |
| Authors: | SUN Wen hao and YAO Jian |
| Affiliation: | (Business School,Univercity of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China) |
| Abstract: | The reverse thinking method was adopted to set up St.Petersburg paradox quantity model,and the influence of sample size was discussed to avoid decision making mistakes by not sensitive to the base rate and the sample sizes in the decision making process.The model was applied in practical problems to solve the questions of product or service pricing and related decision makings,and to discuss these effects on inflation. |
| Keywords: | St.Petersburg paradox sample size decision making |
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