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索赔到达间隔为几何分布风险模型的破产问题
引用本文:王晓易,刘国欣,杨忠直.索赔到达间隔为几何分布风险模型的破产问题[J].系统工程学报,2006,21(1):49-54.
作者姓名:王晓易  刘国欣  杨忠直
作者单位:1. 天津大学管理学院,天津,300072
2. 河北工业大学理学院,天津,300130
3. 上海交通大学安泰管理学院,上海,200052
摘    要:讨论了索赔到达间隔时间服从几何分布,索赔额分布为一般离散型分布的一类连续时间风险模型的破产问题,先将风险模型纳入PDMP框架,借助于带离散分量的广义生成元的概念得到相关鞅,再利用测度变换理论得到破产概率的一般表达式,有趣的是破产函数不是连续的,而是逐段常值的.

关 键 词:破产概率  逐段决定马尔可夫过程(PDMP)  广义生成元  鞅方法  测度变换
文章编号:1000-5781(2006)01-0049-06
收稿时间:2004-08-18
修稿时间:2004-08-182005-09-07

Ruin probability of risk model with inter-occurrence of geometric distribution
WANG Xiao-yi,LIU Guo-xin,YANG Zhong-zhi.Ruin probability of risk model with inter-occurrence of geometric distribution[J].Journal of Systems Engineering,2006,21(1):49-54.
Authors:WANG Xiao-yi  LIU Guo-xin  YANG Zhong-zhi
Institution:1. School of Management, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China; 2. School of Science, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China; 3. School of Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200052, China
Abstract:The paper discusses the ruin problem of a kind of continuous_time risk model with inter_occurrence time obeyed geometric distribution and with claim size obeyed general discrete distribution.Firstly,we set the risk model in the framework of PDMP,and get a correlative martingale in virtue of the extended generator with discrete component.Secondly,the general expressions for ruin probabilities are presented via the change of the probability measure. It is interesting that the ruin probability function is not continuous,in fact,it is piecewise constant.
Keywords:ruin probability  piecewise deterministic Markov process(PDMP)  extended generator  martingale techniques  change of the probability measure  
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