| 试论技术预见战略性与阿基里斯悖论的产生及预防 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙中峰,崔志明,万劲波,浦根祥.试论技术预见战略性与阿基里斯悖论的产生及预防[J].科技导报(北京),2005,23(4):37-39. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙中峰 崔志明 万劲波 浦根祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海科技发展研究中心,上海,200235;苏州大学计算机系,江苏,苏州,215006;北京大学资源与环境学院,北京,100871;上海银行发展研究部,上海,200062 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(70273025) |
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| 摘 要： | 当前，技术预见正逐步成为许多国家制定科技政策的重要工具。随着我国中长期科技规划的开展与制定，技术预见的重要性将日益凸现。而阿基里斯悖论作为古希腊遗留下来的一个重要数学命题，一直影响着现代数学和物理的发展。对于两者群之间的关系，通过对技术预见的战略本质、技术菜单的产生以及阿基里斯悖论的游戏规则进行分析，阐述了技术预见产生阿基星斯悖论的可能性，同时对避免其产生进行了尝试性的探讨。
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| 关 键 词： | 阿基里斯悖论 技术预见 战略 竞赛规则 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-7857(2005)04-0037-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年9月23日 |
ON TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT STRATEGY AND PRODUCTION AND PREVENTION OF ACHILLES PARADOX |
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| SUN Zhong-feng,CUI Zhi-ming,WAN Jin-bo,PU Gen-xiang.ON TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT STRATEGY AND PRODUCTION AND PREVENTION OF ACHILLES PARADOX[J].Science & Technology Review,2005,23(4):37-39. |
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| Authors: | SUN Zhong-feng CUI Zhi-ming WAN Jin-bo PU Gen-xiang |
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| Institution: | SUN Zhong-feng1 CUI Zhi-ming2 WAN Jin-bo3 PU Gen-xiang4 |
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| Abstract: | Currently, in many countries, technology foresight has been playing an important role gradually in formulating their science & technology policies. It will become more and more important with the establishment of our mid- to long-term science & technology layout. As a classical proposition from the ancient Greece, Achilles Paradox has a long-term effect on the development of modern maths and physics. What relationship is between technology foresight and Achilles Paradox? Based on illustrating the essence of technology foresight strategy, the formation of technology menu and the game rule of Archilles Paradox, the possibility in producing Archilles Paradox from technology foresight , and the prevention as well were analyzed. |
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| Keywords: | Achilles Paradox technology foresight strategy game rule |
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