高技术项目的风险分析研究

随着经济全球化的不断发展，影响项目投资效果的不确定性因素逐渐增多，投资风险普遍增大，尤其是对于高技术项目，为使高技术项目投资决策更为科学合理，我们必须重视和加强高技术项目的风险分析，但传统的项目风险分析技术要求较高，难以广泛运用，已不能满足经济发展需要。鉴此，结合高技术项目特点给出一种方法——风险模拟方法，通过计算机系统的仿真模拟，将高技术项目风险分析过程系统化、程序化，使风险分析更具有可操作性。

Risk analysis of hi- tech project

With the globalization process of economy, there are more and mor e factors that affect the capital return of the project. The risk of investment is also going higher, especially for hi-tech project. To improve the effectivene ss of decision-making, we must stress the risk analysis. But the traditional t echnique is too profound to be applied. An effective method on the risk analysis is presented, and the simulation process will be systematic. The approach is mo re practical.