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汇率变动对产业结构的影响——FDI和贸易渠道的实证分析
引用本文:李利.汇率变动对产业结构的影响——FDI和贸易渠道的实证分析[J].系统工程,2012(3):117-122.
作者姓名:李利
作者单位:湖南大学经济与贸易学院;湖南商学院财政金融学院
摘    要:作为重要的宏观经济变量,汇率变动与产业结构调整密切相关。本文构建汇率与产业结构调整关系的计量模型,从影响渠道的角度考察了汇率变动的产业结构效应。总体来看实际汇率变动可以通过外商直接投资(FDI)流入和贸易渠道影响资本密集和技术密集产业产值比重,但是资本密集型产业受汇率变动的影响弱于技术密集型产业,而FDI渠道的作用强于贸易渠道。

关 键 词:汇率变动  产业结构  影响渠道

The Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Industrial Structure:Empirical Analysis through FDI and Trade Channels
LI Li.The Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Industrial Structure:Empirical Analysis through FDI and Trade Channels[J].Systems Engineering,2012(3):117-122.
Authors:LI Li
Institution:LI Li(Hunan University,Changsha 410079,China)
Abstract:As an important macro-economic variable,exchange rate is closely related to the industrial structure.This article establishes an econometric model to analyze how the exchange rate influences the industrial structure through foreign direct investment(FDI) and trade channels.Overall,the real exchange rate can affect capital-intensive and technology-intensive industries through FDI and trade.Morever,capital-intensive industries are less affected by exchange rate,while the channel effect of FDI is greater that that of trade.
Keywords:Exchange Rate Fluctuation  Industrial Structure  Effect Channels
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