| 权马尔可夫链在河流丰枯状况预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯耀龙,韩文秀.权马尔可夫链在河流丰枯状况预测中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,19(10):89-93. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯耀龙 韩文秀 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学系统工程研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对河川径流量为相依随机变量的特点，提出了以规范化的各阶自相关系数为权， 用加权的马尔可夫链来预测河流未来丰枯状况的方法， 并通过实例对该方法进行了具体的应用
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| 关 键 词： | 权 马尔可夫链 径流量 预测 |
The Application of Weighted Markov-Chain to the Prediction of River Runoff State |
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| FENG Yao-long,HAN Wen-xiu.The Application of Weighted Markov-Chain to the Prediction of River Runoff State[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,1999,19(10):89-93. |
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| Authors: | FENG Yao-long HAN Wen-xiu |
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| Institution: | Institute of Systems Engineering, Tianjin University |
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| Abstract: | Based on the special characteristics of the river runoff being a dependent stochastic variable, a method, which is used to predict the state of the future river runoff by regarding the standardized self\|correlation coefficients as weights and using the weighted markov chains, is developed.Furthermore, the method is applied to a real instance. |
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| Keywords: | weight Markov chain river runoff prediction |
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