| 基于人工神经网络的组合预报模型与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 薛立华,黄洪钟,时章明.基于人工神经网络的组合预报模型与应用[J].应用科学学报,2004,22(4):509-512. |
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| 作者姓名： | 薛立华 黄洪钟 时章明 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 大连理工大学,精密与特种加工教育部重点实验室,辽宁,大连,116023
2. 中南大学,能源与动力工程学院,湖南,长沙,410083 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(高技术新概念新构思探索)(59685003)，教育部优秀青年教师资助计划(1766)，高等学校全国100篇优秀博士论文作者专项基金(200232)资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 在研究铜锍吹炼实际生产过程的基础上，综合运用两种结构不同的BP神经网络与经验估算方法，建立了铜锍吹炼造铜期终点的组合预报模型；并采用模糊聚类分析法对神经网络隐含层节点数进行模糊确定，经实践证明，预报结果具有较高精度．能有效地指导生产实践．
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| 关 键 词： | 组合 证明 实际 指导 综合运用 终点 生产实践 吹炼 预报模型 |
| 文章编号： | 0255-8297(2004)04-0509-04 |
A Multiplex Forecasting Model Based on an Artificial Neural Network and Its Application |
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| XUE Li-hua,HUANG Hong-zhong,SHI Zhang-mingEducation,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian ,China, . School of Energy and Power Engineering,Centralsouth University,Changsha ,China.A Multiplex Forecasting Model Based on an Artificial Neural Network and Its Application[J].Journal of Applied Sciences,2004,22(4):509-512. |
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| Authors: | XUE Li-hua HUANG Hong-zhong SHI Zhang-mingEducation Dalian University of Technology Dalian China School of Energy and Power Engineering Centralsouth University Changsha China |
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| Institution: | XUE Li-hua~1,HUANG Hong-zhong~1,SHI Zhang-ming~2Education,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116023,China, 2. School of Energy and Power Engineering,Centralsouth University,Changsha 410083,China) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of our study of the industrial converting process as well as through comprehensive application of the BP neural networks and the experiential evaluation method, a multiplex forecast model is set up at the endpoint of copper blow period in a converting process. The fuzzy clustering anaysis method is also used to determine the number of hidden nodes in the neural networks. Experience shows that the forecast is highly dependable and capable of providing effective guidance to the production process. |
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| Keywords: | matte converting artificial neural network endpoint forecast fuzzy clustering (ana-)lysis |
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