四川省人口城镇化和土地城镇化协调发展研究

在全国推行新型城镇化的大背景下,以四川省为研究区域,选取14个评价指标,建立四川省人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展的评价指标体系,并运用熵值法确定各指标权重,构建协调发展度模型,定量分析四川省2003—2013年人口城镇化和土地城镇化协调发展状态,并预测其演变趋势。结果表明:(1)四川省人口与土地城镇化协调发展水平可分为失调阶段—过滤阶段—协调发展3个阶段;(2)总体上,人口城镇化和土地城镇化指数为上升趋势,两者的发展水平从轻度失调发展到优质协调发展。在城镇化建设过程中,必须兼顾人与地,实现人口与土地协调发展,走可持续发展的新型城镇化道路。

Coordinated Development of Population and Land Urbanization Under the Backgroud of New-type Urbanization in Sichuan Province

Under the background of promoting the new-type urbanization all over the country, taking Sichuan Province as the study area, choosing 14 evaluation indexes, analyzing the weights of 14 indexes using the entropy value method, through establishing coordinated development evaluation system of population urbanization and land urbanization, analyze the coordinated development degree of population and land urbanization of Sichuan Province quantitatively using the coordinated development degree model from 2003 to 2014,and then predict its evolution trend. The results showed that: (1) the coordinated development level in Sichuan Province from 2003 to 2013 had experienced 3 phases. (2)the index of population and land urbanization in Sichuan Province showed an increasing trend, and the coordinated development level of population and land urbanization from the extreme imbalance of recession rose to the high quality coordinated development phase.In the process of urbanization, it is necessary to consider both people and land, thus realizing the coordinated development of population and land urbanization, through the new-type urbanization road of sustainable development.