基于物质流分析的山东省资源利用压力动态评价

为从压力角度衡量山东省资源利用可持续状况，利用物质流方法，通过对全省2005 -2014年物质输入、物质输出、物质消耗数据的分析与处理，测算山东省资源利用总量压力、结构压力与增长压力，并加权得到综合压力，探讨压力变化的特征。结果显示，全省资源利用压力呈现增加趋势，压力调控的重点在资源利用总量和增长动力上；资源要素对全省经济发展有重要影响，依靠资源消耗实现经济发展的模式仍待转变；经济因素对于全省资源利用压力的变化具有主导作用，科技因素、人口因素的作用次之，科技因素的作用在不断强化。

Dynamic evaluation of resources utilization pressure in Shandong Province based on material flow analysis

For measuring the sustainable status of resources utilization in Shandong Province from the perspective of pressure, the data of material input, output and consumption in Shandong Province during 2005-2014 were analyzed and processed based on the material flow method. Furthermore, the total amount pressure, formation pressure and growth pressure of resource utilization in Shandong Province were measured, the compound pressure was obtained by weighting, and the characteristics of pressure changes were discussed. Results indicate that: for Shandong Province, the resource utilization pressure shows an increase trend, and the emphasis of pressure regulation is put on the total amount of resource utilization and the growth engine; resource factors have an important influence on economic development of the whole province, and the economic development mode based on resource consumption still need to be changed; the economic factors play a leading role in the change of resource utilization in the whole province, followed by the effects of technology and population, and the effect of technical factor has been constantly strengthened.