基于非对称QRE模型的北极航线经济圈合作研究

以北极航线经济圈相关国家的双边货物贸易为依据，确定其经贸合作网络，基于非对称QRE模型，将对支付敏感的非对称性作为关键影响变量纳入到北极航线经济圈的经贸合作博弈中来，深入分析自我对支付的敏感度、关于他国对支付敏感度的信念、初始合作者比例、邻居国家的奖励、国际舆论的社会压力对合作的影响，得出了对支付敏感的非对称性制约了北极航线经济圈经贸合作的结论，并讨论了促进北极航线经济圈经贸合作的相关策略.

Study on the asymmetric sensitivity to payment and the trade cooperation in the Arctic Route Economic Circle-based on asymmetric QRE model

Taking the arctic route economic circle as the object and the relevant countries' economic and trade cooperation network are generated on the basis of the bilateral trade in goods data. In this paper， asymmetric sensitivity to payment as a key variable is considered into the economic and trade cooperation game of the arctic route economic circle. Based on the asymmetric QRE model， the self-sensitivity to payment， the other countries' sensitivity to payment， the ratio of initial partners， the rewards of neighbor countries and the influence of the pressure of international criticism on cooperation are analyzed in depth. The results show that the asymmetric sensitivity to payment restricts the economic and trade cooperation. Then according to the results， some related strategies are provided to promote the cooperation of the arctic route economic circle.