基于灰色关联理论和距离协同模型的区域协同发展评价方法及实证

对区域协同发展程度进行评价是有效促进区域协同发展的前提和指导.在分析现有研究现状，总结了定量研究两类思想的基础上，论文结合TOPSIS思想和灰色关联理论对距离协同模型进行改进，构建了新的区域协同发展程度评价方法.该方法引入理想规划值，运用相对距离比来衡量区域系统发展度；运用各个子系统间的灰色关联度来确定子系统间的拉动因子，进而得出理想发展度和协同度，弥补了距离协同模型的两处不足.利用此方法对皖江城市带的协同发展进行了实证分析，实证结果表明皖江城市带的整体协同发展度呈上升趋势，但程度较低，发展度远远低于协同度；经济子系统对其它子系统有显著拉动作用，同时是皖江区域发展中的瓶颈因素；承接产业转移对皖江区域的协同发展有显著促进作用.

Evaluation method and empirical research of regional synergetic development degree based on grey relational theory and distance collaborative model

To evaluate the degree of regional synergetic development is the premise and guidance to effectively promote regional co-development. Based on the analysis of existing research status and summarizing two kinds of quantitative research ideas, this paper makes an improvement to distance collaborative model combined with TOPSIS idea and grey relational theory. The ideal planning value is introduced in the improved model, and relative distance rate is used to measure the development degree of regional system. Grey comprehensive relational degree is used to measure the pull factors of subsystems, then ideal development degree and synergy degree are obtained. In doing so, two shortages of distance collaborative model are conquered by the improved model. Specially, by using this model, an empirical research about the Wanjiang urban belt is achieved. The empirical result shows that the synergetic development degree of Wanjiang urban belt is on the rise, but still at a low level, and the development degree is much lower than synergy degree. Economic subsystem plays a significant role in boosting other subsystems, is also the bottleneck factor. Undertaking industrial transfer significantly promotes the synergetic development of Wanjiang urban belt.