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基于流形学习的多核SVM财务预警方法研究
引用本文:倪志伟,薛永坚,倪丽萍,肖宏旺.基于流形学习的多核SVM财务预警方法研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2014,34(10):2666-2674.
作者姓名:倪志伟  薛永坚  倪丽萍  肖宏旺
作者单位:1. 合肥工业大学 管理学院, 合肥 230009;2. 教育部过程优化与智能决策重点实验室, 合肥 230009
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(71271071);国家“863”云制造主题项目(2011AA040501);安徽省高等院校人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(SK2013B391)
摘    要:在进行财务困境预测时, 为了客观全面地反映企业的财务状况, 纳入较多的预警指标, 数据集维度将变得很大, 传统方法求解此类问题效果并不理想. 流形学习处理高维数据具有较好的降维效果,多核SVM对于分布不平坦的数据具有很好的分类性能. 基于此, 提出了“流形学习+多核SVM”的混合算法财务预警模型, 该模型适用于具有大量指标集的财务预警. 实验结果表明, 与传统预警方法相对比, 其具有更优的预测性能.

关 键 词:财务困境预测  流形学习  多核学习  
收稿时间:2013-01-25

Research of multiple kernel SVM based on manifold learning in financial distress prediction
NI Zhi-wei,XUE Yong-jian,NI Li-ping,XIAO Hong-wang.Research of multiple kernel SVM based on manifold learning in financial distress prediction[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2014,34(10):2666-2674.
Authors:NI Zhi-wei  XUE Yong-jian  NI Li-ping  XIAO Hong-wang
Institution:1. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China;2. The MOE Key Laboratory of Process Optimization and Intelligent Decision-Making, Hefei 230009, China
Abstract:In order to reflect the financial status of enterprises objectively and comprehensively, more indexes will be included and the dimensionality of data set will be too large that traditional methods can't perform well in the process of financial distress prediction. Manifold learning performs well on high dimensional data set, and multiple kernel SVM has excellent classification performance on non-flat data set. Therefore, a hybrid algorithm of financial distress prediction model which integrates multiple kernel learning with manifold learning is proposed, and it can be used in the situation of prediction research with large number of indexes. Experiment results show that this model has better performance than traditional methods.
Keywords:financial distress prediction  manifold learning  multiple kernel learning  
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