Artificial Neural Network for Combining Forecasts |
| |
摘 要: | ArtificialNeuralNetworkforCombiningForecasts¥ShanmingShi,LiD.Xu&BaoLiu(DepartmentofComputerScience,UniversityofColoradoatBoul...
|
Artificial Neural Network for Combining Forecasts |
| |
Abstract: | This paper proposes artificial neural networks (ANN) as a tool for nonlinear combination of forecasts. In this study, three forecasting models are used for individual forecasts, and then two linear combining methods are used to compare with the ANN combining method. The comparative experiment using real--world data shows that the prediction by the ANN method outperforms those by linear combining methods. The paper suggests that the ANN combining method can be used as- an alternative to conventional linear combining methods to achieve greater forecasting accuracy. |
| |
Keywords: | Artificial neural network Forecasting Combined forecasts Nonlinear systems |
|