| 基于GM（1,1）模型和Cobweb模型的房地产行业发展态势的分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩俊杰,窦霁虹.基于GM（1,1）模型和Cobweb模型的房地产行业发展态势的分析[J].延安大学学报(自然科学版),2012,31(1):31-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩俊杰 窦霁虹 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北大学数学系,陕西西安,710127 |
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| 基金项目： | 陕西省教育厅自然科学专项基金(No.11JK0511) |
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| 摘 要： | 建立了基于GM（1,1）模型和Cobweb模型的房地产行业模型,分别从未来房价和房地产行业泡沫两个方面,参考国家统计局数据,借助于MATLAB软件定量分析了未来我国房地产市场发展态势,并提出了一些建议,以期对我国房地产行业发展有一定的理论指导意义。
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| 关 键 词： | GM（1 1）模型 Cobweb模型 定量分析 房地产泡沫 MATLAB拟合 |
Analysis of the Development Trend of the Real Estate Industry Based on GM(1,1) Model and Cobweb Model |
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| HAN Jun-jie,DOU Ji-hong.Analysis of the Development Trend of the Real Estate Industry Based on GM(1,1) Model and Cobweb Model[J].Journal of Yan'an University(Natural Science Edition),2012,31(1):31-34. |
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| Authors: | HAN Jun-jie DOU Ji-hong |
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| Institution: | (Department of Mathematics,Northwest University,Xi an 710127,China) |
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| Abstract: | Two models about the real estate industry based on GM(1,1) Model and Cobweb Model were formulated.Then a quantitative analysis of the future development trend of China’ s real estate market was carried out separately from the future price and real estate bubble in two aspects,with MATLAB software,according to the data from the national bureau of statistics of China.In addition,some suggestions were put forward.In brief,we expect to provide China’s real estate industry with some theoretical guidance. |
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| Keywords: | GM(1 1) Model Cobweb Model quantitative analysis the real estate bubble MATLAB fitting |
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