经济增长与产业结构对能源消费的影响分析——基于27个省（区、市）面板数据

以我国27个省（区、市）2005-2011年经济增长、能源消费及产业结构数据为基础，利用结构方程模型，分析三者之间的影响效应．结果表明：经济增长是能源消费结构的重要影响因素，影响效应达到0．633；产业结构对经济增长和能源消费结构也具有极大的促进作用，影响效应分别为1．019和0．322．为实现我国可持续发展战略目标，重点在于优化能源消费结构，调整产业结构，转变经济增长方式，保障经济社会与环境和谐发展．

The Influence of Economic Growth and Industrial Structure to Energy Consumption Based on 27 Provincial Panel Data

Based on 27 provincial statistics of economic growth, industrial structure during 2005-2011, structural equation model is employed to analyze the impacting effect between them in this paper. We got the conclusions as follows. Economic growth is energy consumption＇s important factor, and the effect is 0.633;industrial structure promotes economic growth and energy consumption a lot,and the effects are 1.019 and 0.322. To achieve sustainable development strategy,the key is to optimize energy consumption structure,adjust industrial structure and transform the mode of economic growth, so as to ensure economic development keep pace with environment.