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电力市场中周末边际电价预测方法研究
引用本文:李郁侠,石晓俊,段凌剑,高福荣. 电力市场中周末边际电价预测方法研究[J]. 西安理工大学学报, 2005, 21(1): 91-94
作者姓名:李郁侠  石晓俊  段凌剑  高福荣
作者单位:1. 西安理工大学,水利水电学院,陕西,西安,710048
2. 南桠河流域水电开发总公司,四川,成都,610061
摘    要:针对周末边际电价的特殊性,采用相似搜索和人工神经网络(ANN)建立了预测周末电力市场边际电价的数学模型,并运用Matlab 6.5中的神经网络工具实现了预测模型。实例计算的结果表明该方法有效。

关 键 词:电力市场 电价预测 周末电价 相似搜索 神经网络
文章编号:1006-4710(2005)01-0091-04
修稿时间:2004-09-20

Research on Forecasting Weekend SMP in Electric Power Market
LI Yu-xia,SHI Xiao-jun,DUAN Ling-jian,GAO Fu-rong. Research on Forecasting Weekend SMP in Electric Power Market[J]. Journal of Xi'an University of Technology, 2005, 21(1): 91-94
Authors:LI Yu-xia  SHI Xiao-jun  DUAN Ling-jian  GAO Fu-rong
Affiliation:LI Yu-xia~1,SHI Xiao-jun~1,DUAN Ling-jian~2,GAO Fu-rong~2
Abstract:With an aim at the special characteristics of weekend SMP, the mathematical model for foresting weekend SMP in electric power market is established by using the analogue searching and artificial neural network(ANN), and the forecasting model is also achieved by means of the neural network toolbox in Matlab 6.5. The results obtained from the calculation of practical examples indicate that this method is effective.
Keywords:electric power market  electric price forecast  weekend SMP  analogue searching  artificial neural network
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