基于五元联系数-熵权法的航空公司风险评价

为了实现对航空公司运行风险的动态分析，建立基于集对分析的五元联系数风险动态评价模型。首先根据航空公司运行情况构建风险综合评价指标体系，然后利用熵权法计算出各个评价指标的权重，最后根据模型计算出集对势分析结果，并利用各阶偏联系数分析系统风险的动态发展趋势。最后进行实例仿真，结果表明，本文建立的风险综合评价模型能够有效避免传统评价方法不能对风险趋势合理预测的缺陷，在实际应用中具有可行性，使得评价结果更加科学有效。

Evaluation of airline risk based on five element connection number - entropy method

In order to carry out dynamically risk assessment of airline safety system,establish a dynamic risk evaluation model of five element connection number,which is based on Set Pair Analysis.Firstly, we build a comprehensive risk evaluation index system according to the operation of the airline, and then use the entropy method to calculate the weight of each index, finally calculated according to the models set of potential analysis results, and the dynamic development trend of each order partial connection number risk analysis system.In the end, the simulation results show that, the risk assessment in this paper the model can effectively avoid the defects of the traditional evaluation method cannot reasonably predict the trend of risk, it is feasible in application, which makes the evaluation results more scientific and effective.