| 线性扰动河流预报模型应用——南京站、镇江站潮水位预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐寿钧,崔广柏.线性扰动河流预报模型应用——南京站、镇江站潮水位预报[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),1988(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐寿钧 崔广柏 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学成人教育处，河海大学水资源水文系 |
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| 摘 要： | 潮水河下游受潮水上灌,上游受河水顶托,其水流情况异常复杂,但它具有明显的季节特性.本文试图用线性扰动河流预报模型对长江南京站、镇江站的潮水位进行预报.效果较好,尝试是成功的.
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| 关 键 词： | 线性扰动 线性回归 离差 季节模型 记忆长度 |
APPLICATION OF LINEAR PERTURBATION MODEL TO TIDAL LEVEL FORECASTING |
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| Xu Shoujun, Cui Guangbai.APPLICATION OF LINEAR PERTURBATION MODEL TO TIDAL LEVEL FORECASTING[J].Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences ),1988(1). |
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| Authors: | Xu Shoujun Cui Guangbai |
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| Institution: | Xu Shoujun; Cui Guangbai |
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| Abstract: | The flow conditions of tidal rivers are very complex, but they have evident seasonal characteristics. Linear perturbation model to the tidal level forecasting for Nanjing and Zhen Jiang stations are discribed. The result indicateds that the linear perturbation model is successful and it can be used to obtain better results for this area. |
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| Keywords: | linear perturbation linear regression departure seasonal model memory length |
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