| 应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 方乐润,施鑫源,陈绍玉.应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),1990(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 方乐润 施鑫源 陈绍玉 |
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| 作者单位： | 水利水电科学研究所，河海大学水资源水文系，水利水电科学研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文阐述了应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统的基本概念、原理和步骤,并列举了应用此法建立木里图地区地下水资源系统管理模型的实例.实例研究表明,应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统,进行地下水资源评价和系统管理简单、易行、省时、省力.对水文地质查勘和试验研究欠缺,含水层参数资料不足.但又积累有一定数量水文气象、开采量和地下水动态资料的地区尤为适宜.
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列分析 地下水资源系统 系统模型 模型参数 模型识别 模型检验 |
Groundwater Resources System Simulation With Time Series Analysis Method |
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| Fang Lerun.Groundwater Resources System Simulation With Time Series Analysis Method[J].Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences ),1990(6). |
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| Authors: | Fang Lerun |
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| Abstract: | The basic concept,principle and procedure for using the time series analysis method to simulate the groundwater resources system are described in this paper.As a case study,the time series analysis method is applied successfully to develop the groundwater resources system management model for the Mulitu region.The case study shows that the time series analysis method is an effective and practical one for groundwater resources evaluation and system management.It is simple,easy and economical,especially,it is suitable for those areas in which the hydrogeological environment is not clearly known,but there are enough data on hydrometeorology,groundwater pumping yield and groundwater dynamic regime. |
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| Keywords: | time series analysis groundwater resources system system model model parameter model identification model test |
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