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基于复杂系统分析的航空装备体系对抗效能评估
引用本文:华玉光,徐浩军,刘凌,郭辉.基于复杂系统分析的航空装备体系对抗效能评估[J].系统工程与电子技术,2008,30(4):667-670.
作者姓名:华玉光  徐浩军  刘凌  郭辉
作者单位:空军工程大学工程学院,陕西,西安,710038
摘    要:从复杂系统的角度研究航空装备体系对抗效能评估的方法,根据体系作战典型模式,采用先将作战全过程分阶段后综合的思路,应用改进多元兰彻斯特方程和概率论等方法对综合效能进行评估,提出了航空装备体系对抗综合效能评估指标。以某作战想定为背景,进行了仿真计算,得到结论。该研究成果对我军航空装备体系对抗论证和新时期航空装备体系发展规划具有一定的指导意义。

关 键 词:航空装备体系对抗  效能评估  复杂系统  多元兰彻斯特方程  概率论
文章编号:1001-506X(2008)04-0667-04
修稿时间:2007年1月4日

Effectiveness evaluation of aero combat system's warfare based on complex system
HUA Yu-guang,XU Hao-jan,LIU Ling,GUO Hui.Effectiveness evaluation of aero combat system''''s warfare based on complex system[J].System Engineering and Electronics,2008,30(4):667-670.
Authors:HUA Yu-guang  XU Hao-jan  LIU Ling  GUO Hui
Abstract:The method of effectiveness evaluation of aero equipment system's warfare from the point of view of complex system is presented.According to the typical pattern of aero equipment system's warfare,the whole battle course is divided into some phases and the compositive effectiveness is evaluated with multivariable Lanchester equation and probability theory.The targets to evaluate the warfare effectiveness of aero equipment system are put forward.Giving a particular scenario,an example is calculated combined with computer simulation,and some conclusion are gained.The result is an important guidance for aero equipment system's warfare reasoning and development reasoning in the future.
Keywords:aero equipment system's warfare  effectiveness evaluation  complex system  multivariable Lanchester equation  probability theory
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