江西省科技进步贡献率测算及其影响因素分析

采用LP方法对中国30个省份以及江西省11个地级市的科技进步贡献率进行测算,从外部与内部2个层次分别比较分析江西省与外部其他省份以及江西省内部地级市“十三五”期间科技进步贡献率,并运用2013—2017年江西省11个地级市数据构建动态面板数据模型对江西省科技进步影响因素进行实证分析,结果显示:江西省科技进步贡献率“十三五”期间呈现稳中有进、趋势向好的局面; 江西省内各地级市总体而言呈现良好增长态势,但各地级市科技发展存在不平衡、不充分的问题; 江西省研发人员数量以及研发经费投入的提升是江西省近年来科技进步贡献率增长的关键因素,同时信息化程度也对江西省科技进步具有显著正向影响作用.

The Estimating and Influencing Factors of Contribution Rate of Scientific and Technological Progress in Jiangxi Province

With the LP method,the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in 30 provinces and 11 prefecture-level cities of Jiangxi province are estimated.The contribution rate of scientific and technological progress between Jiangxi province and other external provinces and prefecture-level cities in Jiangxi province during the 13th five-year plan period is analyzed from the external and internal levels.And then a dynamic panel data model is established to measure the impact of factors on the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress,using the data 2013—2017 from 11 prefecture-level cities in Jiangxi province.The conclusion shows that Jiangxi province scientific and technological progress contribution rate during the 13th five-year period presents positive trend.On the whole,prefecture-level cities in Jiangxi province show a good growth trend,but the development of science and technology in prefecture-level cities is unbalanced and insufficient.The growth of R&D personnel and R&D expenditure are the key factors contributing to the increase of scientific and technological progress in Jiangxi province in recent years.Similarly,the degree of informatization also has a significant positive effect on the progress of science and technology in Jiangxi province.