Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

“互动分层合作学习”对田径运动成绩的影响

在田径教学实践中运用“互动合作学习法”对学生进行合理、适宜的分类或分组，确立相应的层次目标．做好课的设计，包括实践操作、课外作业、课内外的教学指导、协调学生组内及组间的合作交流等各个教学环节，使教学过程体现出系统性、层次性，使每位学生都能在各自力所能及的范围内，通过相互帮助和互相协作学习而收到良好的成效．同时能更好地促进学生主动、积极地学习，更好地完成教学任务与教学目标，提高教与学的双边效果．     

基于动态拓扑有领航者的智能群体群集运动控制

对具有二次积分动态的智能群体跟随领航者实现群集运动编队,提出了一个分散控制方法对智能群体进行分散控制。基于动态时变有领航者的网络拓扑,用图论模型表示智能体之间的相互作用及通信关系,运用推广的Lyapunov理论、微分包含及非平滑分析进行了稳定性分析,并得到所有智能体速度方向收敛到同一方向并与领航者保持一致;所有智能体速度大小收敛并与领航者相同;互连的智能体之间没有碰撞发生;所有智能体的人工势场函数被最小化等重要结论。给出了一个仿真实例,验证了该方法的有效性。     

Total systems intervention and human inquiry: The search for a common ground

Total Systems Intervention (TSI) is an approach to intervening in problem situations which has much to offer where complex interacting issues need to be addressed by the complementary use of intervention methodologies. That such an approach has much in common with Action Research (AR) has been recognized, with much recent effort being devoted to the relationship between AR and Critical Systems Thinking (CST), the theoretical endeavor underpinning TSI. This paper further develops this line of debate and relates AR or Human Inquiry (HI) more directly to TSI, using an information systems intervention to enhance the study. The outcome is a demonstration of how TSI implicitly uses techniques informed from the field of Action Research, and how a more thorough synthesis of HI with TSI might serve to improve the overall intervention process.     

分散控制系统稳定化的新方法

本文从实际考虑提出了一种使分散控制系统稳定的新方法。这是一种最优的稳定方法。它不仅使反馈控制器的结构具有站间的通讯费用最低的特点，而且也使控制结构有最少的通道数。数值计算的例子表明了本文所提方法的正确性和可操作性。     

山西省部分非试点县农村新型合作医疗的调查

建立推广新型合作医疗的要点是:加大宣传力度;加强领导,发挥政府主导作用;强化监督,加强管理,确保基金安全平稳运行;创新服务机制,完善便民措施,实现服务管理一体化。     

MP-GWO算法在多UCAV协同航迹规划中的应用

多无人作战飞机(UCAV)协同航迹规划是多UCAV协同作战的重要组成部分,对协同作战的结果有很多的指引作用。多UCAV协同航迹规划属于多峰值优化函数求解问题,其求解稳定性比较差。为解决多UCAV协同航迹规划求解稳定性较差的问题,首先在对影响多机协同约束条件研究分析的基础上,结合单机航迹规划求解中的核心指标,建立了多UCAV协同航迹优化函数;其次利用多种群灰狼算法(MP-GWO)在求解多峰值优化函数问题上比较稳定的特点进行求解,最后将MP-GWO分别与GWO算法、EA算法和在新增威胁环境下的求解结果相比较来验证算法的优越可行性。仿真结果表明,MP-GWO算法对多峰值问题具有求解稳定性,能够适应突发威胁环境下的求解。     

自我评价在大学英语教学中的应用研究

小组合作学习有利于增强学生的学习兴趣和责任感,是一种有效的课堂教学组织形式。该研究探索小组合作学习中五要素之一的“小组自我学习评价和反馈”在大学英语教学中所起到的作用。实验采用了调查问卷、水平测试等试验工具进行调查和收集数据。结果表明小组合作学习有助于增强学生在语言学习中的元认知意识;其中小组自我评价在增强学生的元认知意识和促进小组活动方面起导航作用;能促使学生更多地参与学习过程,从而提高学生学习语言的效果。     

Learning attention-based strategies to cooperate for multi-agent path finding

Multi-agent path finding (MAPF) is a challenging multi-agent systems problem where all agents are required to effectively reach their goals concurrently with not colliding with each other and avoiding obstacles. In MAPF, it is a challenge to effectively express the observation of agents, utilize historical information, and effectively communicate with neighbor agents. To tackle these issues, in this work, we proposed a well-designed model that utilizes the local states of nearby agents and outputs an optimal action for each agent to execute. We build the local observation encoder by using residual attention CNN to extract local observations and use the Transformer architecture to build an interaction layer to combine local observations of agents. With the purpose of overcoming the deficiency of success rate, we also designed a new evaluation index, namely extra time rate (ETR). The experimental results show that our model is superior to most previous models in terms of success rate and ETR. In addition, we also completed the ablation study on the model, and the effectiveness of each component of the model was proved.     

CSCW多媒体同步与协同模型

介绍了ＣＳＣＷ和群件基本概念,讨论了ＣＳＣＷ和群件的关键技术和发展现状,提出了一种基于多媒体同步关系的面向群件的多媒体同步协同模型,并讨论了初步实现技术和方案。