Forecasting economic indicators using a consumer sentiment index: Survey‐based versus text‐based data

Given the confirmed effectiveness of the survey‐based consumer sentiment index (CSI) as a leading indicator of real economic conditions, the CSI is actively used in making policy judgments and decisions in many countries. However, although the CSI offers qualitative information for presenting current conditions and predicting a household's future economic activity, the survey‐based method has several limitations. In this context, we extracted sentiment information from online economic news articles and demonstrated that the Korean cases are a good illustration of applying a text mining technique when generating a CSI using sentiment analysis. By applying a simple sentiment analysis based on the lexicon approach, this paper confirmed that news articles can be an effective source for generating an economic indicator in Korea. Even though cross‐national comparative research results are suited better than national‐level data to generalize and verify the method used in this study, international comparisons are quite challenging to draw due to the necessary linguistic preprocessing. We hope to encourage further cross‐national comparative research to apply the approach proposed in this study.     

温敏性双亲二元共聚物的研制

用己内酯改性丙烯酸酯和丙烯酸，通过自由基聚合制备了具有温敏性的双亲二元共聚物(PAFn)，PAFn在选择性溶剂中自组装得到了聚合物纳米胶束溶液．对PAFn及胶束进行了一系列表征，研究了聚合物浓度、单体比、n值的变化等对胶束粒径的影响。同时研究了它们在醇／水介质中的相转变行为，荧光测试显示，通过自组装途径获得的胶束在醇／水介质中存在一个温度敏感区，具有明显的相转变温度．     

浅析中国铝锭产能迅速扩充的原因

文章阐述了我国铝锭产能迅速扩充的原因。     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于Intranet的煤矿安全信息系统的开发

提出了利用先进的Intranet技术开发煤矿安全信息系统的解决方案 ,并就系统实现的有关方法和技术进行了详细分析和探讨。Intranet以系统的低成本、可扩充性、强适应性、运行的安全可靠性 ,为煤炭企业提供了一条经济实用的信息化道路     

钢纤维混凝土桥面铺装试验研究与工程应用

针对桥面铺装层的受力状况和破坏原因 ,重点对钢纤维砼材料进行了抗弯强度试验和耐磨损试验 ,并进行了钢纤维砼弯曲性能分析 ,闸述了钢纤维砼的耐磨机理 ;结合 130 76m2 的实际工程应用 ,进行了钢纤维砼桥面铺装施工技术总结 ,分析了采用钢纤维砼作为桥面铺装层所带来的效益 ,可供类似工程参考应用     

德国1848年革命初期法兰克福“工人协会”与国民议会资产阶级自由派的斗争

德国1848年革命初期法兰克福“工人协会”与国民议会资产阶级自由派的斗争是法兰克福工人协会为建立统一不可分的德意志共和国和维护无产阶级切身利益的斗争，是德国1848年革命不可缺少的组成部分。这一斗争后不久的1848年法兰克福九月起义是这次斗争的合乎逻辑的发展。     

面向对象的系统活动描述方法

通过实例介绍了系统活动作为一个对象／类的概念，给出了对系统活动进行分析和建模的一般步骤，提出了系统活动描述的形式化方法。     

可碰并工业粉尘粒子的空间浓度分布研究

应用C S Wen统计力学的碰并理论 ,通过研究工业粉尘与墙壁之间的作用势力及粘连性质 ,给出了可碰并工业粉尘粒子的空间浓度分布