基于学业成绩的师范生教师资格获得预警研究

本研究指出,教师资格考试是我国教师准入管理制度的重要环节,师范生教师资格证的获得是师范生职业发展的第一道门槛.本研究通过建立教师资格证考试内容与大学学科课程的对应关系,采用基于密度的离群点检测算法模型,以数学与应用专业学生的课程成绩为实验样本进行数据挖掘分析,识别学业危机学生.研究结果表明,该预警方法可以识别出教师资格获得危机学生,引起学生对教师资格证考试备考的重视,为教师提供预警干预学生的依据,有利于教师精准施教.该预警方法对离群特征显著的学生预测可达到100％,对离群特征不明显的学生识别率较低,算法有待修正.     

两个新的q级数展开式

利用拉马努金西塔函数，建立两个新无穷乘积系数子列的生成函数，并且得到这两个无穷乘积系数的符号是以5为周期的。     

厚尾噪声条件下星凸形扩展目标student’s t滤波器

针对非线性非高斯厚尾噪声条件下的不规则形状的扩展目标跟踪问题,提出了基于随机超曲面模型(RHM)的星凸形扩展目标student’s t滤波算法.首先,在带有非高斯厚尾过程噪声和厚尾量测噪声的系统中, 基于student’s t分布给出鲁棒student’s t滤波器.其次,利用随机超曲面模型描述任意星凸形扩展目标的量测源分布, 提出带厚尾噪声的星凸形扩展目标student’s t滤波器.最后通过仿真验证了所提方法的正确性和有效性.     

Intermittent demand forecasting in the Enterprise: Empirical verification

Forecasting methods are often valued by means of simulation studies. For intermittent demand items there are often very few non–zero observations, so it is hard to check any assumptions, because statistical information is often too weak to determine, for example, distribution of a variable. Therefore, it seems important to verify the forecasting methods on the basis of real data. The main aim of the article is an empirical verification of several forecasting methods applicable in case of intermittent demand. Some items are sold only in specific subperiods (in given month in each year, for example), but most forecasting methods (such as Croston's method) give non–zero forecasts for all periods. For example, summer work clothes should have non–zero forecasts only for summer months and many methods will usually provide non–zero forecasts for all months under consideration. This was the motivation for proposing and testing a new forecasting technique which can be applicable to seasonal items. In the article six methods were applied to construct separate forecasting systems: Croston's, SBA (Syntetos–Boylan Approximation), TSB (Teunter, Syntetos, Babai), MA (Moving Average), SES (Simple Exponential Smoothing) and SESAP (Simple Exponential Smoothing for Analogous subPeriods). The latter method (SESAP) is an author's proposal dedicated for companies facing the problem of seasonal items. By analogous subperiods the same subperiods in each year are understood, for example, the same months in each year. A data set from the real company was used to apply all the above forecasting procedures. That data set contained monthly time series for about nine thousand products. The forecasts accuracy was tested by means of both parametric and non–parametric measures. The scaled mean and the scaled root mean squared error were used to check biasedness and efficiency. Also, the mean absolute scaled error and the shares of best forecasts were estimated. The general conclusion is that in the analyzed company a forecasting system should be based on two forecasting methods: TSB and SESAP, but the latter method should be applied only to seasonal items (products sold only in specific subperiods). It also turned out that Croston's and SBA methods work worse than much simpler methods, such as SES or MA. The presented analysis might be helpful for enterprises facing the problem of forecasting intermittent items (and seasonal intermittent items as well).     

关于高校图书馆书库管理的思考

书库是一个图书馆的中心，高质量的书库管理工作直接决定了整个图书馆的服务质量。针对图书馆书库管理中存在的问题，提出了提高书库管理工作质量的措施，使书库能更高效地为读者服务。     

选材引起测量金属丝杨氏模量的误差分析

杨氏模量的测量是大学物理中重要的力学实验之一。我们对不同直径、不同长度的钢丝进行了杨氏模量测定,分析了选材对实验结果的影响。研究结果表明,在仪器允许的测量范围内,直径越小、长度越长的材料,其杨氏模量的相对合成标准不确定度越小。     

住宅中儿童活动空间设计方法

住宅发展致力于解决住户最基本的生活问题,直到近年来住宅多样化,才出现儿童房等功能分区。然而,儿童活动空间仍未得到住户与设计者足够的重视。由此,试图通过分析儿童在住宅内的行为习惯与设计存在的问题,归纳其需求。在此基础上,研究文献,结合实际提出儿童活动空间的位置选择,家具布置方法,提出可持续设计建议。     

大型结构件——连续采煤机主机架的制造工艺研究

为控制大型结构件——连续采煤机主机架的生产质量,除精选必要的制造设备外,工艺工装的设计也起着举足轻重的作用。从下料、焊接、时效去应力、组焊件检查等方面,对大型结构件——连续采煤机主机架的制造工艺进行了研究。     

Klein-Weyl's program and the ontology of gauge and quantum systems

We distinguish two orientations in Weyl's analysis of the fundamental role played by the notion of symmetry in physics, namely an orientation inspired by Klein's Erlangen program and a phenomenological-transcendental orientation. By privileging the former to the detriment of the latter, we sketch a group(oid)-theoretical program—that we call the Klein-Weyl program—for the interpretation of both gauge theories and quantum mechanics in a single conceptual framework. This program is based on Weyl's notion of a “structure-endowed entity” equipped with a “group of automorphisms”. First, we analyze what Weyl calls the “problem of relativity” in the frameworks provided by special relativity, general relativity, and Yang-Mills theories. We argue that both general relativity and Yang-Mills theories can be understood in terms of a localization of Klein's Erlangen program: while the latter describes the group-theoretical automorphisms of a single structure (such as homogenous geometries), local gauge symmetries and the corresponding gauge fields (Ehresmann connections) can be naturally understood in terms of the groupoid-theoretical isomorphisms in a family of identical structures. Second, we argue that quantum mechanics can be understood in terms of a linearization of Klein's Erlangen program. This stance leads us to an interpretation of the fact that quantum numbers are “indices characterizing representations of groups” ((Weyl, 1931a), p.xxi) in terms of a correspondence between the ontological categories of identity and determinateness.