负面在线评论及商家回复对顾客购买意愿的影响

从负面在线评论比例和失误严重性两个角度出发，通过引入归因理论、感知信任和商家回复等相关内容，探究负面在线评论对潜在顾客购买意愿影响机制和内部机理。对496份调查问卷所得数据进行统计分析，研究结果表明：负面在线评论比例和失误严重性都对潜在顾客购买意愿有显著的负向影响，且两者都通过影响失误的归属性归因、可控性归因、稳定性归因和感知信任影响潜在顾客购买意愿；在负面在线评论比例与失误严重性不同的情况下，商家应采取不同的回复策略实现节约成本与减小损失的目的。     

天津医科大学图书馆中文专业图书资源利用效率统计分析

以天津医科大学图书馆UNICORN集成管理系统的各项记录为数据源,挖掘整合了2004—2013年中文专业图书有关数据,从综合性、动态性角度,统计分析了图书购置数量、图书借阅数量及购书经费分布等有关数据,旨在为提高图书馆管理水平提供参考依据。     

Forecasting of electricity price through a functional prediction of sale and purchase curves

This work proposes a new approach for the prediction of the electricity price based on forecasting aggregated purchase and sale curves. The basic idea is to model the hourly purchase and the sale curves, to predict them and to find the intersection of the predicted curves in order to obtain the predicted equilibrium market price and volume. Modeling and forecasting of purchase and sale curves is performed by means of functional data analysis methods. More specifically, parametric (FAR) and nonparametric (NPFAR) functional autoregressive models are considered and compared to some benchmarks. An appealing feature of the functional approach is that, unlike other methods, it provides insights into the sale and purchase mechanism connected with the price and demand formation process and can therefore be used for the optimization of bidding strategies. An application to the Italian electricity market (IPEX) is also provided, showing that NPFAR models lead to a statistically significant improvement in the forecasting accuracy.     

高校图书采购招标项目用户满意度评价指标体系探析?

确立科学合理的评价指标体系是对高校图书采购招标项目进行用户满意度评价研究的基础,本文结合高校图书采购招标项目的特点,在评价指标体系一般理论的基础上,对高校图书采购招标项目用户满意度评价指标做了层层剖析,并运用德尔菲法对所选指标进行遴选,建立了一套简便的、可操作性强的高校图书采购招标项目用户满意度评价指标体系。     

露天矿相邻采区间内排压帮高度及 重复剥离深度的综合优化

分析了不同压帮方式的内排运距特点与计算原理,建立了内排压帮高度及重复剥离深度的数学模型,得出通用的计算公式并给出有效判据。以黑岱沟露天矿为例,采用费用补偿法确定最优的内排压帮高度,利用最小重复剥采比确定最佳的重复剥离深度。研究结果表明:分区开采露天矿相邻采区间内排压帮高度与重复剥离深度需同时确定,以费用补偿法建立的数学模型简单且可靠,研究成果对露天矿相邻采区间生产设计具有指导意义。     

城镇化视角下的新生代农民工置业定居选择

我国现代化基本路径是城镇化,而其中最迫切和最重要的是实现新生代农民工的城镇化。基于老年父母的抚养、子女入学、文化认同及其社会身份获得等多种因素的考量,返回户籍地城镇置业安居成为新生代农民工城镇化的主要选择。在城镇化的推进过程中,应从历史和现实出发,尊重新生代农民工的这种主体性选择,将新生代农民工返乡置业纳入到城镇化的规划和发展思路上来,合理引导新生代农民工在老家中小城镇置业、定居,并为新生代农民工在老家中小城镇置业、定居提供制度性的保障。     

Multicategory Purchase Incidence Models for Partitions of Product Categories

We analyze multicategory purchases of households by means of heterogeneous multivariate probit models that relate to partitions formed from a total of 25 product categories. We investigate both prior and post hoc partitions. We search model structures by a stochastic algorithm and estimate models by Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. The best model in terms of cross‐validated log‐likelihood refers to a post hoc partition with two groups; the second‐best model considers all categories as one group. Among prior partitions with at least two category groups a five‐group model performs best. Effects on average basket value differ for the model with five prior category groups from those for the best‐performing model in 40% and 24% of the investigated categories for features and displays, respectively. In addition, the model with five prior category groups also underestimates total sales revenue across all categories by about 28%. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

斯列普活化炉生产工艺的控制及原料选购

阐述并分析了斯列普活化炉的生产工艺控制及原料选购,以提高活性炭的产量和质量。     

重复模糊合作对策延拓的核心和稳定集

为了解决重复模糊合作对策传统解在现实应用中的局限性,采用调整相应系数的方法,给出重复模糊合作对策延拓的核心和稳定集等概念,并讨论了它们之间的关系。提出一种重复模糊合作对策新的分配方案—不将全部总收益分配给所有参与者,而保留一部分从而实现收益的再分配。该成果对现实生活中的资源再分配问题具有一定的参考和应用价值。     

重复模糊简约合作对策核心的特征

将简约对策模型和模糊简约模型进行了拓展,加入重复模糊对策理论,构建了重复模糊简约合作对策模型并研究了其核心的公理化特征.