民族高校工商管理专业实践教学体系创新研究

围绕工商管理专业培养具有较强实践能力和高素质管理人才的目标,分析当前实践教学中的误区,通过构建全社会参与的工商管理专业人才实践教学社会网络,建立贯穿大学四年学习全周期的五大实践教学培养体系,对工商管理专业学生进行基础素养实践能力和专业素养实践能力培养,探索工商管理专业人才实践能力培养模式和体系。     

Enhancing survey‐based investment forecasts

We investigate the accuracy of capital investment predictors from a national business survey of South African manufacturing. Based on data available to correspondents at the time of survey completion, we propose variables that might inform the confidence that can be attached to their predictions. Having calibrated the survey predictors' directional accuracy, we model the probability of a correct directional prediction using logistic regression with the proposed variables. For point forecasting, we compare the accuracy of rescaled survey forecasts with time series benchmarks and some survey/time series hybrid models. In addition, using the same set of variables, we model the magnitude of survey prediction errors. Directional forecast tests showed that three out of four survey predictors have value but are biased and inefficient. For shorter horizons we found that survey forecasts, enhanced by time series data, significantly improved point forecasting accuracy. For longer horizons the survey predictors were at least as accurate as alternatives. The usefulness of the more accurate of the predictors examined is enhanced by auxiliary information, namely the probability of directional accuracy and the estimated error magnitude.     

2021年经济景气形势监测、分析和预测

我国经济增长在遭遇前所未有的疫情冲击后进入为期一年的超常快速扩张期，并于2021年2月形成扩张高峰，此后转入经济周期收缩阶段。2020年11月至2021年7月经济运行已恢复至“正常”景气区间，但需求端的恢复弱于供给端。2021年3季度的综合警情指数明显下滑，发出“偏冷”预警信号，且4季度可能继续下行,但物价总体保持稳定。预计全年GDP增长8.1%左右（两年平均增长5.2%左右），全年CPI上涨0.9%左右。建议宏观调控应做好跨周期设计，注意处理好稳增长、防风险和节能环保的关系，提高疫情应对的精准性，适度加大稳增长力度，努力保持经济在合理区间的平稳运行。     

新疆两河源自然保护区鼓藻属植物分布新资料

报道了采自新疆两河源国家级自然保护区的鼓藻属(绿藻门)新疆新记录植物9种，包括3种5变种1变型，分别为厚皮鼓藻增厚变种C. pachydermum var. incrassatum Scottet et Gr?nblad、圆齿鼓藻圆齿变种博尔变型C. crenatum var. crenatum f. boldtiana (Gutwinski) West & West、帽状鼓藻C. galeretum Nordsted、近缘鼓藻C. connatum Ralfs、穿孔纹鼓藻斯科亚变种C. perforatum var. skujae Gr?nblad、方形鼓藻C. quadratum Ralfs、亚脊鼓藻贝克变种C. subcostatum var. beckii (Gutwinski) West & West、四眼鼓藻C. tetraophthalmum Ralfs、特平鼓藻拔萃变种C. turpinii var.eximium West & West.对每一个种(包括变种及变型)的形态分类学特征进行了详细的描述，编制了检索表，丰富了新疆鼓藻类植物研究资料.     

A new superfamily,family, genus and species of marine amphipod,Protodulichia scandens,from Japan (Crustacea: Amphipoda: Senticaudata: Corophiida)

ABSTRACT

In this study, the new amphipod superfamily Protodulichioidea and family Protodulichiidae are established. Both belong to the infraorder Corophiida but is different from all known superfamilies and families. Amphipods included in the new superfamily and family are characterised by having a triangular head with large eyes, extremely long pereopod 7, and uropod 3 with a short peduncle and slender rami bearing a few robust setae. Protodulichia scandens gen. et sp. nov. is fully described here and its mast-building behaviour is also recorded.

urn:lsid:zoobank.org:pub:F6613B27-D954-4E4C-86CB-9FC5E9624334     

浅议国际商务合同翻译教学中术语意识的培养

国际商务合同翻译过程中涉及多个专业的术语翻译,如法律术语、国际贸易术语、保险术语和金融术语等。作者认为在国际商务合同翻译教学中除了讲授国际商务合同的基础知识、语言特点、句法结构和合同的整体构成以及普通翻译技巧等之外,还需要重视学生对术语基础知识和术语翻译原则等方面的学习,培养学生的术语意识,提升学生的国际商务合同翻译质量和水平,并给出了培养学生术语意识的相关方法。     

新型城镇化背景下绿色交通的发展对策

 通过分析绿色交通当前的发展态势，结合国内外发展的实际情况以及新型城镇化发展的要求，从宏观、中观、微观3个层面分析了绿色交通发展面临的挑战。提出绿色交通的发展应该关注各城市、各地区的差异化特征，并需要在不断应对新技术挑战的基础上，全面提升交通与用地布局的协调性，同时应全力优化交通结构，关注细节，建立"公共交通+慢行"主导的交通模式。