The performance of non‐linear exchange rate models: a forecasting comparison

In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling non‐linearities and asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare the forecasting performance of different models for the returns of three of the most traded exchange rates in terms of the US dollar, namely the French franc (FF/$), the German mark (DM/$) and the Japanese yen (Y/$). The relative performance of non‐linear models of the SETAR, STAR and GARCH types is contrasted with their linear counterparts. The results show that if attention is restricted to mean square forecast errors, the performance of the models, when distinguishable, tends to favour the linear models. The forecast performance of the models is evaluated also conditional on the regime at the forecast origin and on density forecasts. This analysis produces more evidence of forecasting gains from non‐linear models. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

双门电冰箱的热传导问题

本文将根据热传导方程,对电冰箱达定态过程进行理论推导,以及定态后电冰箱单位时间吸收的热量,并由此计算出由于冰箱箱体的热量泄漏而消耗的能量。     

紧度量空间中的不动点定理

在紧度量空间中讨论了压缩型和膨胀型不动点定理 ,推广和改进了 [2 ]和 [5 ]中的若干结果     

一个不动点的存在唯一性定理的反例

本文对现行泛函分析教材中的一个不动点的存在唯一性定理举出了一个反例,指出其唯一性不成立。     

关于刚体绕定点转动动能定理的一点注记

本人从教学角度推导了刚体绕定点转动的动能定理。我们发现这一定理有两种解析表达式。     

差分放大器的理论与实验教学研究

讨论了差分式放大器教学中的几个典型问题,包括电路图的规范问题、小信号等效电路以及实验教学中的几个难点.     

一个非线性系统动力学行为的注记

讨论参数λ＜０时非线性系统ｘｎ＋１＝λｘｎ（１－ｘｎ）的动力学行为．     

On Vector Quasi-Variational Inequality Problems in H-Space

The purpose to this paper is to study the existence problem of solutions to the vector quasi-variational inequality for vector-valued functions in H-space.     

R0代数中的真布尔元

通过研究R0代数中一类特殊的元——真布尔元的性质，给出了一些特别的R0等式，并据此得到了真布尔元对R0代数分类的充要条件，为格上研究R0代数开辟了一个新的方向。     

耦合拟不动点定理

根据耦合拟不动点和上半连续算子的定义，讨论了在一定连续条件下集值混合单调算子的耦合拟不动点存在性问题，证明了，若A是非空弱闭值上半连续增算子，则A存在不动点以及若A是非空弱闭值上半连续混合单调算子，则A存在偶合拟不动点等结论．