区间删失数据下基于OLLGG分布的多参数回归模型的参数估计

该文基于Ⅱ型区间删失数据,在OLLGG分布下提出多参数回归模型,通过线性回归刻画分布参数与协变量之间的关系,并通过极大似然方法给出了模型的参数估计,数值模拟验证了模型参数的估计有良好的性质,将提出的模型应用到血友病患者HIV感染的数据中,发现提出的模型对数据有灵活的拟合效果.     

不同降水驱动的SWAT模型参数不确定性研究

以抚河流域与黑河流域为研究区,应用4种降水产品(CMORPH CMA、CMFD、CMADS、MSWEP)驱动SWAT模型模拟日流量,评估4种降水产品在湿润区与干旱区的适用性;使用自适应降维评估法选出流域的敏感参数,并进行一致性检验。结果表明:抚河流域4种降水产品的纳什效率系数(NSE)均在0.70以上,其中CMORPH CMA和CMADS的NSE均能达到0.82;黑河流域CMORPH CMA和CMADS的NSE大于等于0.76,而CMFD和MSWEP的NSE分别为0.72和0.74。抚河流域4种降水产品具有相同的敏感参数;黑河流域CMORPH CMA和CMADS有相同的6个敏感参数,而CMFD和MSWEP则分别有5个和8个敏感参数。4种降水产品在湿润流域和干旱流域都能得到较好的应用效果,但是CMORPH CMA和CMADS的模拟效果要优于CMFD和MSWEP。不同的降水输入也会对模型参数敏感性分析的结果产生影响,当降水表现越接近时,所筛选的敏感性参数也越相似。     

良定Hadamard问题的统一研究

本文给出了良定Ｈａｄａｍａｒｄ问题的一个统一定理。     

六辊UC模型混沌动力学分析及其OGY控制对策

应用施瓦兹导数及符号动力系统对六辊ＵＣ模型的混沌动力学性质进行深入分析,证明了该模型经倍周期通向混沌,对特定控制参数得到其周期点的轨道性质及三周期的存在性利用ＯＧＹ控制方法,对该迭代模型进行了混沌控制,为从根本上提高六辊ＵＣ轧机轧的轧制精度提供了一种新的控制思想。     

脉冲示踪法实验误差分析

本文从理论和实验两方面分析了脉冲示踪法中脉冲时间、示踪剂输入和记录仪记录时间差、示踪剂纯度与用量和实验温度对反应器内物料停留时间分布和流动模型参数测定误差的影响,以便在实验中采取相应措施减小或消除误差,获得准确的实验结果。     

爆破地震峰值的神经网络预报模型

对爆破地震值进行预报,方法,采用神经网络模型,对秦山核电站某爆破工程监测得到的２０组震动峰值数据进行学习,然后对另１０组数据进行预报。结果,实测值与预报所在分类区域完全一致。     

车用电控汽油机实时爆震检测方案的研究

研究一种可以满足准确性,实时性要求的车用电控汽油机爆震检测方案,方法 测量缸盖的振动信号,确定爆震检测频率,运用概率和数理统计的方法。对缸盖振动信号进行分析,找出规律性,在非爆震,严重爆震,爆震时,爆震检测区间内信号峰值都服从对数正态分布。     

The v-v energy transfer of highly vibrationally excited states (I)

The relaxation of the highly vibrationally excited CO (v = 1–8) by CO₂ is studied by timeresolved Fourier transform infrared emission spectroscopy (TR FTIR). 193 nm laser photolysis of the mixture of CHBr₃ with O₂ generates the highly vibrationally excited CO(v) molecules. TR FTIR records the intense infrared emission of CO(v→v-1). The vibrational populations of each level of CO(v) have been determined by the method of spectral simulation. Based on the evolution of the time resolved populations and the differential method, 8 energy transfer rate constants of CO(v = 1–8) to CO₂ molecules areobtained: (5.7±0.1), (5.9±0.1), (5.2±0.2), (3.4±0.2), (2.4±0.3), (2.2±0.4), (2.0±0.4) and (1.8±0.6) (10¹⁴ cm³ · molecule⁻¹ · s⁻¹), respectively. A two-channel energy transfer model can explain the feature of the quenching of CO(v) by CO². For the lower vibrational states of CO, the vibrational energy transfers preferentially to the u³ mode of CO² For the higher levels, the major quenching channel changes to the vibrational energy exchange between CO(v→v-1) and the u¹ mode of CO².     

The v-v energy transfer of highly vibrationally excited states (II)

The vibrational energy transfer from highly vibrationally excited CO to H₂O molecules is studied by time-resolved Fourier transform infrared emission spectroscopy (TR FTIR). Following the 193 nm laser photolysis of CHBr₃ and O₂ the secondary reactions generate CO(v). The infrared emission of CO(v → v−1) is detected by TR FTIR. The excitation of H₂O molecules is not observed. By the method of the spectral simulation and the differential technique, 8 rate constants for CO(v)/H₂O system are obtained: (1.7 ±0.1), (3.4 ±0.2), (6.2 ±0.4), (8.0 ±1.0), (9.0 ±2.0), (12 ±3), (16 ±4) and (18 ±7) (10¹³cm³ · molecule^-1· s^-1). At least two reasons lead to the efficient energy transfer. One is the contributions of the rotational energy to the vibational energy defect and the other is the result of the complex collision. With the SSH andab initio calculations, the quenching mechanism of CO(v) by H₂O is suggested.     

沥青砂浆粘弹性断裂扩延分析及其断裂特性的推求

以沥青砂浆材料为例,通过薄板的蠕变断裂及单轴拉伸蠕变的试验结果和数据分析,推求出沥青砂浆在不同温度下的断裂特性参数Γ和σｍＩ１。