大数据时代图书馆服务模式多元化探析

大数据在图书馆管理与服务中的应用使图书馆的服务资源、服务内容、服务环境、服务方法与服务模式产生了深刻变革。分析了大数据在图书馆服务资源的扩展、服务方式的转换及服务数据的挖掘与保护等方面对图书馆服务的影响,探讨了大数据环境下高校图书馆服务模式的多元化。     

基于三次指数平滑的云南学龄儿童人数预测研究

构建科学、准确的学龄儿童人数预测模型,对合理规划小学学校数量,制定小学教师招聘计划,制定人口政策具有一定的参考价值。根据预测误差平方和最小原则,利用Matlab循环语句命令编程,设定平滑系数α的一个精度,从0α1的所有值中选择最优α,研究发现利用该法建立的三次指数平滑模型在学龄儿童人数预测方面有较好的预测效果;在此基础上利用马尔科夫预测法,对三次指数平滑模型预测结果进行修正,弥补了因随机波动性导致的预测误差偏大的情形;通过对这两个模型预测结果的对比分析,表明三次指数平滑-马尔科夫模型的预测效果比单独利用三次指数平滑模型的效果有较大改善。     

《瘗鹤铭》雷门鼓事试析

《瘗鹤铭》引用的雷门鼓事传说,在《金山本》中表述为“山阴降迹”,而在其他文本中则为“雷门去鼓”。前者表示鼓震洛阳、仙鹤神异的事迹;后者体现的是鼓破不鸣鹤飞的内容。对照铭文,用典是为了突出仙家身世,故当以《金山本》的表述最具原真,并从中折射出东晋侨民怀念故都洛阳的情感。     

云南澜沧老厂矿区石炭系划分及原中上石炭统碳酸盐岩时代归属探讨

参照目前的石炭纪和二叠纪地层划分方案,笔者将云南澜沧老厂矿区石炭系与滇西凤庆平掌剖面石炭系进行对比,认为老厂矿区只存在相当于平掌组下段的地层;根据在矿区原中上石炭统"C2 3"碳酸盐岩中所采到的化石面貌显示,该套碳酸盐岩应该属于早二叠世紫松期的沉积,即为下二叠统鱼塘寨组的上段,因而矿区平掌组上段的地层及上石炭统缺失.并重新厘定了老厂矿区的地层层序.     

Characteristics of strontium isotopes and their implications in the Qixing Cave of Guizhou,China

The strontium isotopic compositions (87Sr/86Sr) of samples including soils, bedrock, soil waters, drip waters and their corresponding speleothems in the Qixing Cave (QXC), Guizhou Province, China, were systemically measured and analyzed. The results indicate that there are significant Sr isotopic differences among samples. The mean 87Sr/86Sr ratios in drip water for the samples 1#, 4# and 9# were 0.709568, 0.709139 and 0.708761, respectively, which possibly result from different flow paths, residence times, and other hydrogeological processes in the unsaturated zone overlying QXC. Meanwhile, levels of 40.8%, 57.6% and 72.4% of Sr in drip waters for 1#, 4# and 9#, respectively, were derived from bedrock dissolution, which was calculated by the mixture model of the two end-members (soil and bedrock). There is, however, no positive correlation between the relative proportion from bedrock dissolution (δ13C value is 1.8‰) and drip water δ13CDIC values. The mean drip water δ13CDIC value in 1# is the heaviest (–4.5‰) with the lowest contribution rate of bedrock dissolution, whereas the value in 9# is the lightest (–9.3‰) with the highest contribution rate of bedrock dissolution. The proportion from host rock dissolution in 4# is higher than that in 1# and lower than that in 9#, while its mean drip water δ13CDIC value (–8.6‰) is higher than that of 9# and lower than that for 1#. This suggests that the prior calcite precipitation (PCP) processes in the unsaturated zone overlying the cave are responsible for the δ13CDIC value differences between different drip waters, and not bedrock dissolution. Furthermore, this study also demonstrates that the 87Sr/86Sr ratios of speleothems in the 1# and 4# mainly reflect the variation in the relative proportions from the soil system (soil water) and bedrock dissolution overlying the cave. It is, therefore, feasible to use the strontium isotopic signals of speleothems as an indicator for soil chemical weathering intensity, and consequently as a monsoon proxy in the study area.     

Molybdenum isotopic composition as a tracer for low-medium temperature hydrothermal ore-forming systems: A case study on the Dajiangping pyrite deposit,western Guangdong Province,China

Little is known about the range or controls on the molybdenum isotopic composition of low-medium temperature hydrothermal ore-forming systems. We present molybdenum isotope data from 12 hydrothermal syndepositional silicalite and carbonaceous slate samples from the Dajiangping pyrite deposit in western Guangdong Province, South China. The δ ^97/95 Mo values from Orebody III range from −0.02‰ to 0.29‰, with an average of 0.18‰. In contrast, the composition values from Orebody IV display a larger variation from −0.70‰ to 0.62‰. However, the five samples from the main ore bed all show strong negative values. This indicates that the significant variation in molybdenum isotopic composition supports different hydrothermal ore-forming metallogenesis and a metallogenic environment between the two orebodies. Orebody III is likely to have been deposited from submarine exhalative hydrothermal fluids under a relatively strong reducing environment and Orebody IV may have also been influenced by hydrothermal superimposition in a more oxidized disequilibrium condition. In addition, the δ ^97/95 Mo values of Orebody IV are clearly negative, together with the values increasing stratigraphically upward in the ore beds, suggesting that the metallogenic environment of Orebody IV is different from the open oceanic systems. There might be dynamic fractionation in this restricted environment. Therefore, the molybdenum isotope can be used as an effective tracer for the ore-forming fluid and metallogenic environment.     

一类具年龄结构非自治传染病模型零平衡解的全局渐近稳定性

建立了一类具有年龄结构和病程结构的传染病模型(SIS).分析了具有构造性迭代序列的模型的全局动力学性态并计算出了基本再生数R0.具体说明了基本再生数R0对整个动力学性态起到的阈值作用.也就是说,当R0<1时,零平衡解是全局渐近稳定的,当R0>1时,零平衡解是不稳定的,此时具有唯一的正平衡解.     

5个年龄栓皮栎热值与灰分含量的分析

不同年龄栓皮栎的灰分含量、干质量热值和去灰分热值是栓皮栎能源开发利用的重要基础。通过对5个年龄栓皮栎不同器官热值、灰分含量的分析,得出:平均灰分含量从高到低时的树龄依次为46、36、17、57、27 a;枝或干的灰分含量低于叶或皮。平均干质量热值从高到低的树龄依次为27、57、36、17、46 a;树叶、树皮、树干的干质量热值与灰分含量均呈不显著负相关,树枝的干质量热值与灰分含量间为极显著线性负相关,平均干质量热值与灰分含量呈显著线性负相关;枝或干的干质量热值均低于叶或皮。平均去灰分热值从高到低时的树龄依次为57、27、36、17、46 a;枝或干的去灰分热值均低于叶或皮。从热值与栓皮栎能源林的经营成本考虑,17、27、36、46、57 a的5个栓皮栎年龄段中,27 a可为栓皮栎能源林的理想经营年龄。     

基于测年法的永安石林形成年代及发育演化过程研究

以永安石林地区地质、水文地质资料为背景,利用不平衡铀系法,对区内不同高程的钙华沉积物岩样进行年龄测定,确定了永安石林形成年代为中更新世以来,距今约50万年.结合区域地质构造历史及沙溪河谷地貌发育演化过程,认为:永安石林的形成始于早更新世;主要是因地壳间歇性抬升运动且大湖盆地开始处于剥蚀环境,石炭二叠纪碳酸盐岩的上覆岩层逐渐被风化剥蚀后形成.     

南非世界杯足球赛参赛运动员年龄与身体形态特征统计分析

利用文献资料、数据统计和比较分析等方法,从数据平均值特征、位置结构特征和地域分布特征3个维度对2010年南非世界杯足球赛决赛阶段736名参赛运动员年龄、身高、体质量和克托莱指数4个指标进行统计比较研究.结果表明:32支队伍参赛队员平均年龄、身高、体质量和克托莱指数分别为27.2岁,181.7cm,76.1kg,418.8;非洲、美洲、欧洲和亚洲各个球队门将、后卫队员、中场队员和前锋队员在年龄、身高、体质量和克托莱指数上存在一定的差异.