倾斜荷载下桥梁桩基的计算与试验研究

在“ｍ”法或“ｃ”法基础上,给出了桥梁桩基在倾斜荷载作用下的内力及位移分析解,该解答计算简单,使用方便,可充分利用现有“ｍ”法或“ｃ”法的计算公式及参数图表。室内铝管模型桩试验及国外已有试验资料均表明,理论计算与实测值吻合良好。     

射击规范与枪械寿命相关性技术分析

为确保现行枪械定型试验射击规范的技术可行性,从机枪枪管寿终机理分析入手,对枪管铬层开裂的原因及热作用与铬层开裂的相关性进行分析。通过大量试验研究,得出射击规范与枪管温度的相关性关系。通过冷却介质对枪管铬层的热冲击破坏作用的分析及模拟试验,确定了热枪管投水冷却的合理时机即枪管内膛温度上限值。给出了不同机枪射后至水冷前的空冷时间下限值。为枪械定型试验射击规范的制定提供了理论依据。     

假设检验中原假设的选取问题

在显性假设检验中,对同一组实验信息或数据,由于原假设不同可能得到不同的统计推断结果．探讨了此类问题的发生机理及其解决的方法,引用两个实例加以说明．     

Monthly data and short‐term forecasting: an assessment of monthly data in a VAR model

Use of monthly data for economic forecasting purposes is typically constrained by the absence of monthly estimates of GDP. Such data can be interpolated but are then prone to measurement error. However, the variance matrix of the measurement errors is typically known. We present a technique for estimating a VAR on monthly data, making use of interpolated estimates of GDP and correcting for the impact of measurement error. We then address the question how to establish whether the model estimated from the interpolated monthly data contains information absent from the analogous quarterly VAR. The techniques are illustrated using a bivariate VAR modelling GDP growth and inflation. It is found that, using inflation data adjusted to remove seasonal effects and the impacts of changes to indirect taxes, the monthly model has little to add to a quarterly model when projecting one quarter ahead. However, the monthly model has an important role to play in building up a picture of the current quarter once one or two months' hard data becomes available. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Combining forecasts based on multiple encompassing tests in a macroeconomic core system

This paper investigates whether and to what extent multiple encompassing tests may help determine weights for forecast averaging in a standard vector autoregressive setting. To this end we consider a new test‐based procedure, which assigns non‐zero weights to candidate models that add information not covered by other models. The potential benefits of this procedure are explored in extensive Monte Carlo simulations using realistic designs that are adapted to UK and to French macroeconomic data, to which trivariate vector autoregressions (VAR) are fitted. Thus simulations rely on potential data‐generating mechanisms for macroeconomic data rather than on simple but artificial designs. We run two types of forecast ‘competitions’. In the first one, one of the model classes is the trivariate VAR, such that it contains the generating mechanism. In the second specification, none of the competing models contains the true structure. The simulation results show that the performance of test‐based averaging is comparable to uniform weighting of individual models. In one of our role model economies, test‐based averaging achieves advantages in small samples. In larger samples, pure prediction models outperform forecast averages. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

上海股票市场资本资产定价的横截面研究

回顾了资本资产定价理论与实证的互动发展脉络 ,采用横截面方法对上海股票市场资本资产定价的因素进行分析 ,研究表明 :1β系数的测量方法对 CAPMs的检验结果产生影响 ;2在上海股票市场系统风险并不是影响收益率的唯一因素 ,同西方成熟股票市场一样 ,上海股市存在“规模效应”.本文进一步对这些结论进行了分析 .     

荷载频率对结构钢及其焊接节点疲劳寿命的影响

钢结构的高周疲劳试验研究采用低频、中频和高频加载,疲劳寿命是否会有差别或者有怎样的差别一直是试验者希望找到答案的问题.以结构钢及其焊接件为对象,对低频(30Hz以内)与中高频(100Hz左右)加载的疲劳试验数据(包括作者和其他学者成果)进行分析对比,研究低频与中高频加载对疲劳寿命的影响,疲劳试验涉及高强钢Q460板材及...     

基坑数值分析中HSS模型参数试验及应用

小应变土体硬化(Hardening Soil Model with Small-strain Stiffness)模型作为一种能够考虑土体小应变阶段非线性特性的高级本构模型,在基坑数值分析中有着特有的优势。通过开展系列三轴试验、标准固结试验及共振柱试验,获得了常州地区典型土体的HSS模型相关参数,建立了模量参数之间的比例关系,并与现有研究成果进行了对比分析。最后借助大型岩土工程有限元分析软件Plaxis 3D,以实际工程为背景进行分析,通过比对模拟结果与监测数值,验证了试验获得模型参数方法的适用性及参数的可靠性。相关成果可为该地区及其他地区的基坑工程分析提供参考。     

The evolution of local structure of Mo6S8 during Li+ electrochemical storage studied by in-situ tender X-ray absorption spectroscopy

Chevrel phase Mo₆S₈ has attracted great interest because of its capability to accommodate different types of small cations through reversible topotactic redox reactions. However, the intercalation mechanism of Mo₆S₈ is still far from being fully understood owing to the complexity of the crystal structure and limitation of the probe tools. In our study, the reaction mechanism of Li ?⁺ ?intercalation into Mo₆S₈ was studied as a model by in-situ tender X-ray absorption spectroscopy (itXAS) in the viewpoint of local structure. According to the isobestic points of the 1st derivative, the discharge process is divided into five regions while the charge process is divided into four regions, where most of the regions are assigned to the two-phase transition reactions. The intensity change of the two spectroscopic features of the 1st derivative is found to be correlated, implying that the intercluster bond length directly affects the localization of the unoccupied states of the intracluster bond. The asymmetric evolution of the intensity of a’ and b’ as well as the asymmetric partition of reaction regions demonstrate the asymmetry of the reaction path in discharge and charge process. The results help to clarify the remaining debates on the phase transitions. Besides, itXAS is demonstrated to be a powerful tool to study the reaction mechanism of Mo₆S_8, which is complementary to NMR, XRD and so on.