基于混合DBN的海上编队通信链路威胁估计

针对海上编队通信链路威胁估计涉及因素多、知识表示与推理存在不确定性等问题,分析了海上编队通信链路威胁要素,依据要素间因果关系建立了通信链路威胁估计的混合动态贝叶斯网络(DBN)模型,提出了混合DBN模型中连续型网络节点变量的学习方法。仿真分析证实了该方法的有效性和可操作性。     

Tibetan plateau aridification linked to global cooling at the Eocene-Oligocene transition

Continental aridification and the intensification of the monsoons in Asia are generally attributed to uplift of the Tibetan plateau and to the land-sea redistributions associated with the continental collision of India and Asia, whereas some studies suggest that past changes in Asian environments are mainly governed by global climate. The most dramatic climate event since the onset of the collision of India and Asia is the Eocene-Oligocene transition, an abrupt cooling step associated with the onset of glaciation in Antarctica 34 million years ago. However, the influence of this global event on Asian environments is poorly understood. Here we use magnetostratigraphy and cyclostratigraphy to show that aridification, which is indicated by the disappearance of playa lake deposits in the northeastern Tibetan plateau, occurred precisely at the time of the Eocene-Oligocene transition. Our findings suggest that this global transition is linked to significant aridification and cooling in continental Asia recorded by palaeontological and palaeoenvironmental changes, and thus support the idea that global cooling is associated with the Eocene-Oligocene transition. We show that, with sufficient age control on the sedimentary records, global climate can be distinguished from tectonism and recognized as a major contributor to continental Asian environments.     

滩涂湿地利用与保护的协调发展探讨 ———以上海市为例

文章就潮滩一词探索其定义,明确其研究范围,以长江口———上海市潮滩、湿地为例,论述其基本     

Predicting the spread of nuclear radiation from the damaged Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

Japan suffered a M9.0 earthquake and massive tsunami on March 11, 2011, which seriously damaged the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant and caused a nuclear crisis. The spread of nuclear radiation from the power plant through the atmosphere and ocean was predicted with a short-term climate forecasting model and an ocean circulation model under some idealized assumptions. If nuclear matter were leaked in the near-ground layer of 992 hPa, the climate model results show that the nuclear radiation would cover North America 10 days after the initial leakage, with the concentration at the forefront dramatically reduced to 10 millionths of the initial model concentration at the source. The radiation would span Europe in 15 days and cover much of the Northern Hemisphere in 30 days. If the initial leakage was assumed to occur in the layer 5000-m above the ground, the radiation would cover Europe in 10 days and cover much of the Northern Hemisphere in 15 days. Moreover, under the assumption that the nuclear matter leaked in the 10000-m layer, the radiation would affect much of China after 10 days. The ocean circulation model indicates that the nuclear material would be slowly transported northeast of Fukushima and reach 150°E in 50 days, and the nuclear debris in the ocean would be confined to a narrow band. Compared with the spread in the ocean, the area affected by leaked nuclear radiation in the atmosphere would be very large. Atmospheric monitors in North America and Europe will be helpful for estimating the effect in China of any leaked nuclear material.     

促进山西转型发展的研究

随着经济全球化进程的加快,中国经济发展的战略重点已开始由沿海地区向中部地区转移,给山西发展带来了大好机遇.文章从山西的优势、瓶颈问题及解决对策等方面进行了阐述,必将对山西转型发展起到一定的借鉴作用.     

A genome-wide association study in Chinese men identifies three risk loci for non-obstructive azoospermia

Non-obstructive azoospermia (NOA) is one of the most severe forms of male infertility. Its pathophysiology is largely unknown, and few genetic influences have been defined. To identify common variants contributing to NOA in Han Chinese men, we performed a three-stage genome-wide association study of 2,927 individuals with NOA and 5,734 controls. The combined analyses identified significant (P < 5.0 × 10(-8)) associations between NOA risk and common variants near PRMT6 (rs12097821 at 1p13.3: odds ratio (OR) = 1.25, P = 5.7 × 10(-10)), PEX10 (rs2477686 at 1p36.32: OR = 1.39, P = 5.7 × 10(-12)) and SOX5 (rs10842262 at 12p12.1: OR = 1.23, P = 2.3 × 10(-9)). These findings implicate genetic variants at 1p13.3, 1p36.32 and 12p12.1 in the etiology of NOA in Han Chinese men.     

Fairness of extra-gain guilty in performance of supply chain and contract design

Considering a one-supplier and two-retailer supply chain setting in which the supplier makes contacts with retailers in sequence based on FCFS(first–come–first-service) principle, the authors investigate the marginal effect of extra-gain guilty fairness concerns of supply chain members on the contract design, supply chain's profit and profit distribution. When the supplier considers distributional fairness of loss aversion and extra-gain guilty, extra-gain guilty concern reduces the optimal wholesale and retail price, and improves supply chain performance. When the first or the second retailer considers distributional fairness and peer-induced fairness, extra-gain guilty concerns decrease the optimal wholesale and retail price but increase the profit of all supply chain members only when the level of loss aversion is large enough and the level of extra-gain guilty is less than 1/2. However, when the level of loss aversion is small and the level of extra-gain guilty is less than 1/2, extra-gain guilty has no influence on supply chain performance. The analysis reveals that the supply chain performance can be further improved by considering fairness of extra-gain guilty.     

山西省城市基础设施现代化水平综合评价

构建出山西省城市基础设施现代化评价指标体系,即道路交通、公用设施、信息通信、绿化环卫、排水排污和文化卫生.在此基础上选取了2006年的有关统计数据,采用主成分分析法和特尔菲基础上的层次分析法对山西各地市基础设施现代化水平进行综合评价,试图揭示出山西省基础设施发展水平的地区差异以及与当地经济发展水平是否相符.经过分析山西省各地级市基础设施发展水平存在很大差异,但大部分地区的基础设施发展水平与经济发展水平是相符合的.就此分析,希望能给城市建设决策者提供决策依据,城市基础设施的现代化是城市建设和发展现代化的前提和载体,我们应不断促进基础设施的建设,加快基础设施现代化的进程,以便经济更好更快的发展.     

钢轨无滑伤台架研究

介绍了为实现攀钢轨梁厂钢轨在线热处理过跨收集的工艺要求,经过技术论证,设计了一种新型的收集装置--滑轨升降式拉钢台架.实现了两条淬火机组进入同一台架进行过跨收集,同时钢轨在过跨时钢轨轨底不与台架面接触,避免了钢轨轨底滑伤,取得了满意的效果.该装置于1999年获国家实用新型专利.     

促进山西转型发展的研究

随着经济全球化进程的加快,中国经济发展的战略重点已开始由沿海地区向中部地区转移,给山西发展带来了大好机遇。文章从山西的优势、瓶颈问题及解决对策等方面进行了阐述,必将对山西转型发展起到一定的借鉴作用。