全文获取类型
收费全文 | 74475篇 |
免费 | 1069篇 |
国内免费 | 1410篇 |
专业分类
系统科学 | 1906篇 |
丛书文集 | 987篇 |
教育与普及 | 539篇 |
理论与方法论 | 574篇 |
现状及发展 | 34030篇 |
研究方法 | 1038篇 |
综合类 | 35690篇 |
自然研究 | 2190篇 |
出版年
2014年 | 967篇 |
2013年 | 1386篇 |
2012年 | 1290篇 |
2011年 | 3522篇 |
2010年 | 1202篇 |
2009年 | 1422篇 |
2008年 | 1703篇 |
2007年 | 1867篇 |
2006年 | 1717篇 |
2005年 | 1808篇 |
2004年 | 2828篇 |
2003年 | 2296篇 |
2002年 | 2031篇 |
2001年 | 2039篇 |
2000年 | 1567篇 |
1999年 | 1585篇 |
1998年 | 1132篇 |
1997年 | 1258篇 |
1996年 | 961篇 |
1995年 | 866篇 |
1994年 | 1079篇 |
1993年 | 1009篇 |
1992年 | 1255篇 |
1991年 | 1117篇 |
1990年 | 1155篇 |
1989年 | 962篇 |
1988年 | 912篇 |
1987年 | 866篇 |
1986年 | 850篇 |
1985年 | 1015篇 |
1984年 | 846篇 |
1983年 | 723篇 |
1982年 | 824篇 |
1981年 | 874篇 |
1980年 | 960篇 |
1979年 | 1591篇 |
1978年 | 1410篇 |
1977年 | 1412篇 |
1976年 | 1189篇 |
1975年 | 1171篇 |
1974年 | 1196篇 |
1973年 | 1341篇 |
1972年 | 1407篇 |
1971年 | 1471篇 |
1970年 | 1617篇 |
1969年 | 1455篇 |
1968年 | 1352篇 |
1967年 | 1285篇 |
1966年 | 1065篇 |
1965年 | 855篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
11.
In 1873, W. K. Clifford introduced a notion of parallelism in the three-dimensional elliptic space that, quite surprisingly, exhibits almost all properties of Euclidean parallelism in ordinary space. The purpose of this paper is to describe the genesis of this notion in Clifford’s works and to provide a historical analysis of its reception in the investigations of F. Klein, L. Bianchi, G. Fubini, and E. Bortolotti. Special emphasis is placed upon the important role that Clifford’s parallelism played in the development of the theory of connections. 相似文献
12.
王琳 《高等函授学报(自然科学版)》2015,(2):77-80
南京农业大学作为首批"助学二学历"试点单位之一,自2010年起,在本校范围内积极开展了"助学二学历"教育工作。经过几年的实践与探索,积累了丰富的教学管理经验,同时也取得了一定的成果。本文基于南京农业大学实践经验,分析了"助学二学历"开展的现状及存在的问题,提出了增强宣传力度,提高普及水平;立足学生需求,增设优势专业;加强组织建设,完善管理体系;重视过程管理,保障教学质量等策略。对自学考试"助学二学历"优化管理进行探讨,有利于高校推进自学考试事业的发展,培养复合型人才,更好地满足社会对人才多样化需求。 相似文献
13.
<正>也不是没人研究过男性避孕药,只是面对这"野火烧不尽,春风吹又生"的精子们,科学家们绞尽脑汁却依旧所获不多。避孕,是男女两个人的事,但在选择避孕方式上,女性安装宫内节育器的比例要比男性做输精管结扎术的比例大得多,市面上的避孕药品也几乎都偏向于女性。像宫内节育器这样的避孕措施对女性的伤害还真不小。最可怕的是有很多女性即使带上宫内节育器还会有怀孕的情况,而这样的情况往往会导致宫外孕。 相似文献
14.
15.
Methods for backcasting,nowcasting and forecasting using factor‐MIDAS: With an application to Korean GDP 下载免费PDF全文
We utilize mixed‐frequency factor‐MIDAS models for the purpose of carrying out backcasting, nowcasting, and forecasting experiments using real‐time data. We also introduce a new real‐time Korean GDP dataset, which is the focus of our experiments. The methodology that we utilize involves first estimating common latent factors (i.e., diffusion indices) from 190 monthly macroeconomic and financial series using various estimation strategies. These factors are then included, along with standard variables measured at multiple different frequencies, in various factor‐MIDAS prediction models. Our key empirical findings as follows. (i) When using real‐time data, factor‐MIDAS prediction models outperform various linear benchmark models. Interestingly, the “MSFE‐best” MIDAS models contain no autoregressive (AR) lag terms when backcasting and nowcasting. AR terms only begin to play a role in “true” forecasting contexts. (ii) Models that utilize only one or two factors are “MSFE‐best” at all forecasting horizons, but not at any backcasting and nowcasting horizons. In these latter contexts, much more heavily parametrized models with many factors are preferred. (iii) Real‐time data are crucial for forecasting Korean gross domestic product, and the use of “first available” versus “most recent” data “strongly” affects model selection and performance. (iv) Recursively estimated models are almost always “MSFE‐best,” and models estimated using autoregressive interpolation dominate those estimated using other interpolation methods. (v) Factors estimated using recursive principal component estimation methods have more predictive content than those estimated using a variety of other (more sophisticated) approaches. This result is particularly prevalent for our “MSFE‐best” factor‐MIDAS models, across virtually all forecast horizons, estimation schemes, and data vintages that are analyzed. 相似文献
16.
In this paper, views of investor are described in fuzzy sets, and two fuzzy Black-Litterman models are constructed with fuzzy views and fuzzy random views respectively. In the models, expected returns and uncertainty matrix of views are redefined and the views are formulated by fuzzy approaches suitably. Then the models are tested with data from Chinese financial markets. Empirical results show that the fuzzy random views model performs the best, and both the fuzzy models are better than the traditional ones, demonstrating that the fuzzy approaches can contain more information in the views and measure the uncertainty more correctly. 相似文献
17.
Journal of Systems Science and Complexity - The GVW algorithm is an efficient signature-based algorithm for computing Gröbner bases. In this paper, the authors consider the implementation of... 相似文献
18.
产业融合是在全球经济一体化、高新技术层出不穷迅猛发展的背景下,出现的一种新的发展模式和产业组织形式。推进河南产业融合发展,促进虚拟经济与实体经济深度融合,是培育河南经济新的增长点、提升河南产业竞争力的重大举措。本文给出了新趋势下促进河南产业融合发展的总体思路和对策建议。对丰富产业融合相关理论、为政府提供相应的决策建议有一定的意义。 相似文献
19.
Paul D. Taylor Silviu O. Martha Dennis P. Gordon 《Journal of Natural History》2018,52(25-26):1657-1721
Genera assigned to the cheilostome bryozoan family Onychocellidae are revised based on the skeletal morphology of the type species and, when possible, the type material of these species. All genera are illustrated using scanning electron micrographs, some for the first time. Onychocellidae, which ranges from the Cenomanian stage of the Cretaceous to the Recent, has been a particularly troublesome family because of poorly defined generic concepts correlating at least in part with a paucity of morphological characters. Thirty-five genera are described in this review. Of these, two are recognised as subjective synonyms of other onychocellid genera (Rhebasia and Semieschara), one cannot be sufficiently characterised from the type material (Collura), and two are new: Aechmellina gen. nov. (type species Aechmella falcifera) and Kamilocella gen. nov. (type species Eschara latilabris). A neotype is chosen for Rhagasostoma hexagonum, the type species of Rhagasostoma. A key is provided to assist in the identification of onychocellid genera. Phylogenetic relationships between genera remain obscure and are unlikely to be fully resolved based on skeletal morphology alone. The family as an entity is loosely circumscribed and almost certainly paraphyletic, containing stem genera of other anascan familes such as Lunulitidae, Coscinopleuridae and Aspidostomatidae.
www.zoobank.org/urn:lsid:org:pub:63A31AD2-F049-42CB-A45B-557014DC286E 相似文献
20.
采用文献资料法,依次从学理脉络、统计内容及其实施策略展开关于体育消费以及体育消费统计的讨论。认为:从学理上看,体育消费作为一个复杂概念,既牵涉宏观经济社会发展,也与文化意识形态紧密联系;而作为准确把握体育市场、把脉体育发展情况的基础性工作之一,体育消费统计则应该避免将体育消费概念泛化。应以体育政策为导向,面向人民的美好生活需要,对接国民经济统计制度,考虑建构以“体育教育与培训、体育文化与娱乐、体育保健与康复、体育传媒与信息、体育衣着耐用品、其他体育用品与服务、个人间接体育消费”为核心指标的统计框架,并通过长效工作方案的设计使体育消费统计工作制度化,通过统计调查制度的建构使体育消费统计执行有效化,通过统计数据的测算推算使体育消费统计结果精准化。 相似文献