考虑中断的制造型供应链协调调度模型

供应链协调调度能有效提高企业应对供应链中断的能力。以两阶段制造供应链为研究对象，研究了中断情境下具有交付时间约束的多产品类型制造供应链协调调度问题。制造商接到包含多产品类型的工件加工订单，各工件需经供应商处理为原材料工件后，交付给制造商处理为完成品，各工件均有一个独立的交付期。如果供应商单方面调整工件加工顺序，会导致制造商冲突成本的增加，需双方协商处理。以最小化供应商总拖期交付成本和最小化制造商总冲突成本为目标，基于收益共享契约协调机制，构建了考虑中断的制造型供应链协调调度模型。设计了一个融合自适应邻域搜索算子的混合自适应遗传算法。通过算例仿真，验证了所提模型与算法的有效性。     

中国高层次科技人才省际流动的特征

.以2014-2019年中国内地(未包括香港、澳门和台湾地区)人选高被引科学家为高层次人才研究对象,通过挖掘高层次人才个人履历信息,构建科学家迁移特征信息数据库,从跨省域流动、省内流动及机构流动等多层次、多维度对高层次人才省际流动特征进行研究.研究结果表明,中国高被引科学家在各地区间分布差异非常明显,主要集中在北京、江苏、上海等经济与科教资源发达的地区;高被引科学家净流杰主要集中在广东省、江苏省和四川省等东部发达地区,净流出主要集中在吉林省、安徽省和辽宁省等中西部和东北地区;从机构来看,净流入主要集中在电子科技大学、苏州大学和复旦大学,净流出集中在中国科学院、北京大学等,但由于中国科学院高被引科学家人选人数多,故中国科学院净流出占其入选总人数的比例并不高.     

基于老厂房改造的景观规划设计

随着城市化高速发展，老厂房再利用的问题日益急迫.上海是中国近代工业起源地,也是率先着手对彰显城市文脉的工业遗产进行调查和保护的历史文化名城.本文以上海典型案例入手，分析了具有代表性的老厂房改造的项目特点，并在此基础上，对常州大成三厂这一民国时期的纺织业遗留地块进行改造设计手法进行介绍，从设计理念、设计内容和节点设计3个方面，体现了文化传承和生态技术相融合理念.     

Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

浙江省县市综合经济实力分析

利用浙江省2005年有关统计数据,分别采用加权平均法、主成分分析法、因子分析法和聚类分析法对浙江省58个县级市、县的综合经济实力进行了综合评价和排位.其方法科学、合理.对于帮助各地区看到自己所处的位置,明确自己的经济实力提供了一个度量准则.     

民营企业实施股份期权激励的探析

阐述了股票期权及股份期权的含义与区别，说明了股份期权激励在民营企业实施的意义和前景，结合我国民营企业所处的环境及企业发展状况，提出了我国民营企业实施股份期权制度的若干策略。     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

深化大学数学教学改革—谈我院的数学建模

文章简述了我院自1994年以来在数学建模方面取得的优异成绩和成功经验,并总结了各系部提出的建议。对搞好大学数学教育改革,培养新世纪学生数学建模能力提出了建议并作了有益的尝试。     

基于地质灾害的唐山市土地开发利用管理信息系统

灾害的破坏程度不仅取决于地震能量（受控于现代构造应力场的特征），同时也受岩溶塌陷，采空区塌陷等其他灾害的影响，故采用人工神经网络模型评价灾害危险性。借助地理信息系统软件，计算了唐山市各居住小区的建筑密度和建筑容积率，结合灾害危险性评价结果。确定了从防灾角度考虑的土地开发强度评价指标。应用Maplnfo自带二次开发语言MapBasic及Visual Basic进行二次开发，炳述了二次开发的步骤和过程。依据系统评价结果，对唐山市的城市规划布局和土地利用方向提出了几点建议。