Bridging the Gap Between the Theory and Practices of Stakeholder Participation in Integrated Vulnerability Assessments of Climate Change

In the international climate regime, integrated vulnerability assessments have become the most prominent method of investigating the potential effects of climate change. Vulnerability assessments typically operate on a local to regional level, where it is most likely to inform subsequent decision making. To cope with the inherent complexity of the climate change problem, the corresponding uncertainties and the aim of producing useful and actionable knowledge various degrees of stakeholder participation have become a critical part of participatory integrated vulnerability assessments. The present study relies upon Fiorino’s (Sci Technol Hum Values 15(2):226–243, 1990) heuristic distinctions between the normative, instrumental and substantive rationales of participation, and it investigates two internationally renowned case studies to demonstrate the consequences of the design and conduct of participatory processes. An analysis of the interplay of the purposes and practices of stakeholder integration points to four fundamental challenges of participatory integrated assessments: knowledge integration, interest convergence, causality and representation. At the end two exit options are discussed, which aim to overcome some obstacles of using the concept of participation in the assessment efforts. This paper therefore goes beyond the typical analyses of ways to better organize and steer the process of stakeholder participation and wants to make a contribution to improve future integrated vulnerability assessments of climate change.     

在反思中发展系统思维科学的理论

通过对传统的辩证思维方式与系统思维方式的比较分析 ,说明在反思中发展系统思维科学的理论的重要性     

重建生态环境体系的系统思考

就生态环境保护和重建的系统意义、生态危机的产生原因、生态重建的结构制约性、生态重建与社会经济的协同发展、生态重建的六大支持体系加以讨论,充分说明了生态环境保护和重建中的系统性和复杂因素的制约性。     

生物进化论困境的系统思考

阐述了生物进化的要点 ,指出了进化论所面临的困境 ,最后从系统的角度探讨了解决这些困境的思路     

关于邓小平理论科学体系的系统探析

用系统观点分析邓小平理论的科学体系,认为邓小平理论的科学体系具有整体性、层次性、开放性等特征。     

以系统论方法诠释中国传统思维：唯物辩证法

本文尝试用系统论的表述方法说明中国古代的三大学说——五行学说、阴阳学说、精气学说——系统地解释了事物的运动、变化和发展的规律。五行学说解释了事物的内部结构和相互联系;精气学说解释了事物的内部的、与及内外部之间的物质、能量和信息的变化机理;阴阳学说解释了事物和谐发展的条件、以及事物演化的原因。从而解释了事物的运动、变化和发展的规律和内在机理。中国传统思维包含着丰富的唯物辩证法思想,有待于我们去发掘和应用。     

从我国古代系统思想看现代可持续发展观

我国古代先哲们提出的朴素系统思想 ,与现代系统论有许多相似之处。可持续发展观是基于现代系统论解决环境问题而提出来的 ,二者的契合点就是系统的整体观、协同观     

系统思维方式与主体价值观的提升

人的价值观的提升应是一项系统教育过程。教育要成功，必须要关注教育信息的互动性与互应性，促使价值观教育方式科学化、合理化。     

科学技术可持续发展的系统学思考

实施可持续发展战略是中国实现现代化的必然选择，而科学技术的可持续发展则是实现经济、社会和生态可持续发展的基本手段和支持条件。鉴于现代科学技术是一个庞大的整体系统，要实现科学技术的可持续发展需要运用系统学思想方法加以认识和推进，具体说就是要实现科学技术的整体性可持续发展、结构性可持续发展、协同性可持续发展、目的性可持续发展、功能性可持续发展和开放性可持续发展。     

Participatory Design for Democracy and Wellbeing: Narrowing the Gap Between Service Outcomes and Perceived Needs

This paper explains how narratives told by Aboriginal service users and Aboriginal service providers form the basis for redesigning the approach to complex interrelated problems associated with unemployment, alcohol, domestic violence and homelessness. On the basis of the case study it develops an argument for how it is possible to mainstream the matching of services to meet perceived needs. It makes the case that (1) it is possible for democracy to be re-worked in such a way that (a) collective needs (and steering for the common good) can be married to (2) decentralized policy making (and steering from below). Sustainable participatory policy based on user perceptions of what works why and how could be the basis for enabling people to set aside narrow difference and to consider different ways to govern democratically. We conclude that bureaucratic and compartmentalized responses are inadequate to address complex multifaceted problems and that the process of engagement is in itself important for democracy and wellbeing. The area of concern is to address identity and social inclusion. The research explores convergent user-centric design. The criteria for UCD are: Improving wellbeing, Enhancing participation in thinking through if-then scenarios, Matching services to perceived need, Enhancing rational decisions, Generating evidence based policy based on mapping and modeling, Attaining sustainability, Fostering creativity and innovation, Building communities, Expanding opportunity. A dedicated website describes the work of the ARC team http://www.socsci.flinders.edu.au/av/pathways/binder.php.     

企业购并后整合的系统性思考

从系统学的角度,分析了系统整合的意义,阐明了企业购并后整合的系统性特征,深刻揭示了整合过程中各个要素的联系与协调,以期能实现购并的系统经济效益。     

西气东输走廊"资源-经济-环境"集成发展系统仿真研究

以西气东输管线气站为节点,建立了地下开发资源、地面拉动经济、空中减轻污染三个空间层次的集成仿真系统。仿真系统由流动模型、消费模型、环境模型和经济模型四部分组成。其中,流动模型是基础,它通过地下渗流模拟、地面管线流动模拟、空中污染物传质扩散模拟进行流量分析,再经过消费模型和环境模型,可得到污染物排放程度及空间分布。经济模型计算了由开发效益、环境效益和社会效益组合而成的综合经济效益,实现了西气东输走廊的资源、经济、环境的有机集成。最后,本文以西气东输终点的长江三角洲为例进行了计算,得出西气东输在资源、环境与经济上可取得的良好效果。     

论系统思维(一):把对象作为系统来识物想事

考察了倡导系统思维的可能性和必要性 ,讨论了如何准确界定对象系统     

复杂性与简单性的辩证关系探讨

复杂性与简单性相互依存、相互渗透和中介过渡，并在一定条件下相互转化。     

复杂适应性与“力量之舞”——CAS理论与皮克林实践理论的对话

复杂适应系统(CAS)理论与皮克林的实践理论颇为契合:冲撞中的人类力量与CAS中的能动者(agent)、阻抗——适应与刺激——反应,开放式驻足点与系统进化,瞬间突现与涌现以及后人类主义与复杂网络,从不同层次,不同领域,共同描述了一幅在真实时间中演化的生成图景,它们代表了当今世界与西方文化转向的共通精神。这两种理论的比较研究不仅富于启发,而且可以互鉴长短,相互补充。     

证券组合投资决策:系统思考和实验设计

以证券组合投资决策问题为背景,引入二次曲线型效用函数,给出期望效用最大化数学模型,目标是保证证券中得到收益的期望值尽量大且方差尽量小.进一步从系统结构和功能角度,解释了马科威茨证券组合投资决策模型的不足,指出从复杂系统理论角度探讨才有可能解决本质问题.最后,应用配方均匀设计工具给出了组合投资问题实验设计方法.该方法可用于优化阶段求解,同样也可用于金融产品的设计阶段.     

Viability Theory and PSI Theory Interrelation Inspired by Bunge Systemic Classification: the Viable System Ontology Theory

Systemic Practice and Action Research - This paper proposes a new theory called the Viable System Ontology Theory, which is an interrelation among two well-known theories in social science. The...     

A Note on the Correspondence Between Complexity and Systems Theory

Complexity theory shares a common vocabulary with systems theory. Terms such as emergence, complexity, and adaptation appear in both traditions. Despite the similarities, complexity theory is not a misnomer for systems theory. Several points of departure exist in complexity's research agenda and methods. Moreover, while systems theory appears to have embraced interpretivist and critical philosophies, complexity theory remains firmly in the positivist camp, despite claims that it is a postmodern science.     

用系统思想解读人与自然的和谐发展

人与自然的关系一直是学术界争论不休的问题。人类中心主义和自然中心主义各执己见、相持不下。长期以来，人们从人的主体性角度解读着人与自然关系的螺旋式发展过程。系统思想则从生命有机体以及多学科角度，以整体性和动态性的思想探讨世界的“平衡-非平衡-平衡”、“有序-无序-有序”变化的本质和规律，以实现人与自然和谐发展的价值取向和最终归宿。