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双向多尺度LSTM的短时温度预测
引用本文:程鹏宇,赵 嘉,韩龙哲,张翼英,武延年.双向多尺度LSTM的短时温度预测[J].江西师范大学学报(自然科学版),2022,0(2):134-139.
作者姓名:程鹏宇  赵 嘉  韩龙哲  张翼英  武延年
作者单位:1.南昌工程学院信息工程学院,江西 南昌 330099; 2.天津科技大学人工智能学院,天津 300457; 3.深圳市国电科技通信有限公司,广东 深圳 518000
摘    要:针对长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory,LSTM)无法有效提取温度数据的多尺度特征和反向特征的问题,该文提出了一种双向多尺度跳跃LSTM(bidirectional multi-scale skip long short-term memory,BMS-LSTM)的短时温度预测模型.该模型以LSTM为核心单元,采用双向深层网络结构提取反向特征; 根据温度数据日的周期性设置跳跃连接数提取多尺度特征,解决了指数增长的跳跃连接数后期跳跃尺度过大的问题; 最后使用全连接层进行特征融合预测.实验结果表明:BMS-LSTM成功提取了温度数据的多尺度特征和反向特征,预测均值误差仅为3.890,优于对比模型,是一种有效的短时温度预测模型.

关 键 词:长短期记忆网络  温度预测  多尺度  反向特征  跳跃连接  特征融合

The Short-Term Temperature Prediction Based on Bidirectional Multi-Scale LSTM
CHENG Pengyu,ZHAO Jia,HAN Longzhe,ZHANG Yiying,WU Yannian.The Short-Term Temperature Prediction Based on Bidirectional Multi-Scale LSTM[J].Journal of Jiangxi Normal University (Natural Sciences Edition),2022,0(2):134-139.
Authors:CHENG Pengyu  ZHAO Jia  HAN Longzhe  ZHANG Yiying  WU Yannian
Affiliation:1.School of Information Engineering,Nanchang Institute of Technology,Nanchang Jiangxi 330099,China; 2.College of Artificial Intelligence,Tianjin University of Science & Technology,Tianjin 300457,China; 3.Shenzhen Guodian Technology Communication Corporation Limited,Shenzhen Guangdong 518000,China
Abstract:Because at the LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory)cannot effectively extract the multi-scale features and inverse features of temperature data,the BMS-LSTM(Bidirectional Multi-scale Skip Long Short-Term Memory)short-term temperature prediction model is proposed.The model uses LSTM as the core unit,and uses a two-way deep network structure to extract reverse features.The multi-scale feature is extracted according to the daily cycle setting of the number of jump connections in the temperature data,which solves the problem of the jump scale being too large in the later stage of the exponentially increasing number of jump connections.Finally,the fully connected layer is used for feature fusion prediction.The experiment's results show that BMS-LSTM has successfully extracted the multi-scale features and reverse features of temperature data,and the average prediction error is only 3.890,which is better than the comparison model and is an effective short-term temperature prediction model.
Keywords:Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)  temperature prediction  multi-scale  reverse feature  skip connection  feature fusion
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