不确定性条件下的湖泊总磷允许输入量分析

不确定性条件下的湖泊总磷允许输入量分析

王宪恩¹，张海亮¹，李杰¹，王秀萍²，赵文晋¹，齐姗姗¹

1. 吉林大学环境与资源学院环境科学系，长春 130026； 2. 中国石油吉林石化分公司研究院，吉林省吉林 132021

收稿日期:2004-07-09 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2005-05-26 发布日期:2005-05-26
通讯作者: 王宪恩

Analysis on Permissible Input of Lake Total Phosphorus under Uncertain Conditions

WANG Xian-en¹, ZHANG Hai-liang¹, LI Jie¹， WANG Xiu-ping²， ZHAO Wen-jin¹, QI Shan-shan¹

1. Department of Environmental Science, College of Environment and Resources,Jilin University, Changchun 130026, China； 2. Academy of Jilin Petrochemical Filiale of Petroleum China Company Limited， Jilin 132021， Jilin Province, China

Received:2004-07-09 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2005-05-26 Published:2005-05-26
Contact: WANG Xian-en

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对Dillion模型中各参数的不确定性，运用盲数及其均值理论，对各参数盲数化处理. 并以广州麓湖为例，估算不确定性条件下的总磷允许输入量及相应的可信度. 与传统方法相比，盲数法更合理可信.

关键词: 不确定性, 盲数的均值, 总磷, Dillion模型

Abstract: In view of the uncertainty of each parameter in the model of Dillion, the parameters were managed by using the theory of blind number and blind number mean. The permissible input of total phosphorus of Lu Lake in Guangzhou and the credible level were calculated. Compared with the classical method, the blind number method is more reasonable and credible according to the results of the sample.

Key words: uncertainty, blind number mean, total phosphorus, Dillion model

中图分类号:

X144

王宪恩，张海亮，李杰，王秀萍，赵文晋，齐姗姗. 不确定性条件下的湖泊总磷允许输入量分析[J]. J4, 2005, 43(03): 384-388.

WANG Xian-en, ZHANG Hai-liang, LI Jie， WANG Xiu-ping， ZHAO Wen-jin, QI Shan-shan. Analysis on Permissible Input of Lake Total Phosphorus under Uncertain Conditions[J]. J4, 2005, 43(03): 384-388.

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